TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c91…5ccc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT3148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.42
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$9.63
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+77%+$43.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+46%+$31.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+214.1%+$81.8
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$5.12
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$19.43
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+207.5%+$28.94
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$11.8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$14.65
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$23.2
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2763%17 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Lamine Yamal score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$36.5
Will Emiliano Martínez record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.29
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.8
Will Algeria be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.9
Will Austria be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$20.34
Will Ivory Coast be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Will Ivory Coast be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.26
Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.85
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$38
Will South Africa be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$25.5
Will Iran be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.7
Will DR Congo be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.23
World Cup: Scoreless Team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14.84
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$12.32
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.04
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.16
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$19.25
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$32.2
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.66
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-64.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.49
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.96
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+218.7%+$96.07
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.14
Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$11.3
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.55
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.61
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$14.65
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.8
All 8 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicatorslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Musiclast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.71
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.