AI · resolved market
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x965663b9156c3cbb85a9e037be71ba2852913f64f5cc517f2af93dabe5500379
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08e7…aa79backed No | 19c | 4,758$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 16c | 4,706$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 7c | 4,573$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.24 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd59…0231backed No | 6c | 3,461$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 14c | 2,962$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.1 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed No | 60c | 2,544$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.67 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 2,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 1,950$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked No | 6c | 1,745$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…c177backed Yes | 20c | 1,688$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 20c | 1,560$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.07 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…bd16backed Yes | 77c | 1,420$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe46…0411backed Yes | 78c | 1,300$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,282$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.9 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 13c | 1,217$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.21 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…ba00backed No | 7c | 1,200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 21c | 1,199$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.31 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44da…e225backed Yes | 70c | 1,165$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f7…d67abacked No | 10c | 1,005$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fd…3348backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 20cpaid | +279.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 13c | 980.09$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.83 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -13.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…1703backed No | 11c | 977.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 8c | 967.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc08…a25cbacked Yes | 21c | 957.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +227.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 34c | 905.95$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.44 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 47c | 874.46$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.63 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0153…89d6backed No | 6c | 863.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 46c | 836.68$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.97 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…96d3backed No | 52c | 733.09$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +348.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 65c | 715.74$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.93 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 3c | 714.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 13c | 701.72$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 11c | 650$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -61%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed No | 3c | 641.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…67dbbacked No | 23c | 599.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 62c | 598.08$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.32 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…b1c7backed No | 24c | 597.51$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 75c | 585.9$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.79 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 36c | 582.22$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.74 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed Yes | 58c | 568.99$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.44 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 70c | 559.34$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.43 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983d…becfbacked No | 25c | 550.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x124a…3741backed Yes | 79c | 540$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8533…7c76backed No | 11c | 523.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bab…8322backed No | 11c | 523.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6c…bbc7backed No | 3c | 519.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…a4aebacked Yes | 77c | 518.65$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…0ef2backed No | 28c | 517.86$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dc…423bbacked No | 5c | 509.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 80c | 501.22$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd029…4fc1backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…9be4backed Yes | 78c | 464.99$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 19c | 457.46$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.18 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed No | 59c | 446.43$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 15c | 439.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 12c | 418.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 15c | 417.58$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…1288backed Yes | 9c | 400.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +186.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…8363backed No | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -84%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 61c | 400$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.64 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked No | 28c | 392.13$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…1a25backed No | 5c | 377.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa5…7621backed Yes | 40c | 375.34$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.82 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 8c | 349.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 83 | 6%5 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed No | 13c | 335.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed No | 8c | 334.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 12c | 297.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed94…53fcbacked No | 5c | 287.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 21c | 272.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed No | 11c | 255.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5e…8819backed No | 15c | 253.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +683.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13dd…b2b7backed Yes | 20c | 250$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c11…99a1backed No | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…087fbacked Yes | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 72c | 246.98$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.02 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a5eabacked Yes | 73c | 245.13$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 69c | 235$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.48 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…8b7cbacked Yes | 26c | 232.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +288.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 16c | 230$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dde…bcdebacked No | 6c | 222$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 41c | 220$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.8 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1395…1ff5backed No | 6c | 218$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8d…5dc2backed No | 6c | 208$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…f623backed No | 7c | 207.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a66…a177backed No | 5c | 205.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb201…b73fbacked No | 6c | 203$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked No | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e4…8768backed No | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 68c | 194$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…7004backed No | 7c | 188.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 20c | 187.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed24…3b45backed Yes | 40c | 187$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa36…7d42backed No | 13c | 170.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 75c | 164.16$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bef…3b06backed No | 11c | 162.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19a…d7c0backed No | 21c | 151.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed No | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…8d83backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?this page
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 14, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 15, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 16, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 21, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 22, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 23, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 24, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 28, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 29, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 31, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 6, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 9, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.