AI · resolved market
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabeb81b8f93b40b6f41410eca05c268e73c80afe526cae48c920d5f4cc3917d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2110…5850backed Yes | 46c | 5,381$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.87 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…1703backed No | 44c | 4,379$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.03 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b74…6407backed Yes | 44c | 3,454$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.81 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…14edbacked Yes | 11c | 2,333$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…0ef2backed Yes | 8c | 2,035$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,494$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.26 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,356$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,300$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4a…efaebacked Yes | 31c | 1,251$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2874…4736backed Yes | 9c | 1,172$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4de…c949backed No | 62c | 1,056$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed No | 53c | 1,030$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.73 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1771…6796backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed No | 39c | 968.21$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…a75fbacked Yes | 49c | 815.54$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.3 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…35b8backed Yes | 38c | 784.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…b1c7backed Yes | 7c | 751.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8d2cbacked No | 67c | 740.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…9be4backed No | 33c | 715.19$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe46…0411backed No | 68c | 702$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…ad79backed Yes | 18c | 673.76$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…200abacked Yes | 13c | 651.51$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf847…ee6abacked Yes | 65c | 606.96$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…e15abacked Yes | 8c | 600$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed No | 52c | 565.19$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 79c | 559.34$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…645bbacked Yes | 60c | 539.62$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…47c2backed Yes | 2c | 519.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 58c | 519$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.06 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 54c | 492.26$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.42 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124a…3741backed No | 44c | 488.73$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.92 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb728…4664backed Yes | 64c | 469.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 416.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d4…f923backed Yes | 11c | 402.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a9…fdb6backed Yes | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 65c | 363.59$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.53 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 357$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…b81bbacked No | 40c | 354.46$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x069e…863cbacked Yes | 16c | 332.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…5e4bbacked Yes | 6c | 324.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…50c8backed Yes | 15c | 322.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb48…be6dbacked Yes | 15c | 316.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1b…a414backed Yes | 41c | 308.22$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 73c | 306.32$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.79 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -13.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…f943backed Yes | 17c | 287$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 77c | 282.16$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb699…4e20backed Yes | 65c | 264.7$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…7b4dbacked No | 59c | 250$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 25c | 240$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 52c | 238$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 12c | 234.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 62c | 217$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.54 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…3895backed Yes | 51c | 210$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…34e7backed Yes | 64c | 209$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bef…3b06backed No | 69c | 202.18$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 64c | 201.08$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…43e2backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…c1bcbacked No | 68c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa821…0bc8backed Yes | 51c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…01aebacked Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 43c | 192.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.81 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…9f3abacked Yes | 7c | 178.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed Yes | 8c | 152$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…4c92backed No | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes | 18c | 137.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 78c | 137.47$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 30c | 137.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0f…53a2backed Yes | 22c | 136.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…8e0bbacked No | 63c | 135.97$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 70c | 135$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 60c | 131.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad0…1f59backed No | 77c | 116.51$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 52c | 114.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 144 | 23.6%34 W · 110 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 79c | 109.22$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…9a17backed Yes | 54c | 109$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3f…fde2backed Yes | 18c | 108.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed7d…5852backed Yes | 65c | 107.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Yes | 43c | 106.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…caa4backed Yes | 38c | 105.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 10c | 104.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8533…7c76backed Yes | 12c | 103.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 34c | 102.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…f0c4backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…540cbacked Yes | 56c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f92…d732backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…3651backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf26e…cf82backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4079…7126backed No | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…b695backed Yes | 15c | 98.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 42c | 98.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02e9…9a18backed Yes | 38c | 90.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0875…fb98backed Yes | 15c | 87.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ce…3a36backed No | 36c | 82.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e52…44e7backed No | 49c | 79.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 80c | 79.53$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…309cbacked No | 50c | 76.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?this page
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 14, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 15, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 16, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 21, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 22, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 23, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 24, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 28, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 29, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 31, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 6, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 9, 2026?No won
- Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.