TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x13dd…b2b7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
207
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT4526.7%12 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jan Blachowicz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Marcin Tybura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Santiago Ponzinibbio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Thomas Petersen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mike Davis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Ismael Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Seokhyeon Ko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.78
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,501Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$739.2
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.2
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.4
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Lone'er Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Nikita Krylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Michel Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.17
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alonzo Menifield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Dooho Choi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+148.7%+$580.31
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+404.2%+$1,273.6
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Paulo Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+219.4%+$189.36
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will the announcers say "Blood" or "Bloody" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$331.55
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Rob Font · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+114.1%+$57.07
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$194.12
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+215%+$214.96
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+241.9%+$230.92
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.68
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.5
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$560
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.74
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.7
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT3135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$34
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+212.4%+$21.24
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.25
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.6
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$71.11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$76.72
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.95
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$55.48
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Iran strike on US military by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT2218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-59.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 20-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.4
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.63
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$236
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 23-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+157.3%+$235.95
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$65.25
Will Solana dip to $70 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$110.85
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Ethereum all time high before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $118K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+77.4%+$60.39
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Bitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.68
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $100K on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+753.4%+$206.65
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$33.75
Yoon arrested by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the candidate from the People Power Party win the South Korean Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Na Kyung-won be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,510
Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$790
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Han Duck-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$610
Will 3-4 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$480
Will 5-6 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$614.06
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,901Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+210.3%+$6,100.7
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-67.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.21
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Verdant vs Bulldog Esports (BO3) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked Bulldog Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.72
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: Onion Team vs Orbit Anonymo (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffsbacked Orbit Anonymo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+222.6%+$222.58
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+410.2%+$201
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$40.74
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.1
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+300%+$90
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$47.99
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.71
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on February 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30.59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on February 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40.29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on February 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30.1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on February 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$530
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.77
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+107.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+314.6%+$1,315.94
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$697.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+105.4%+$105.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $7,060 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.