World Politics · resolved market
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6f28c879d79f518b1ac0aea7a3e9e012fb8c1431687791b6a1eb6569e9da853
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,905,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,223,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,905,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 558 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…cad6backed Yes | 0c | 3,999,681$7,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,555.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…6aaebacked Yes | 0c | 2,945,457$6,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,143.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 1c | 2,297,854$18,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,610.67 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…61a5backed Yes | 4c | 2,227,266$89,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,738.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…d77dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,070,299$69,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,882.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa28b…1984backed Yes | 2c | 1,947,261$33,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,802.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…0ff3backed Yes | 3c | 1,557,288$48,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,863.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…f5f5backed Yes | 0c | 1,182,931$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094b…d027backed Yes | 0c | 1,071,044$4,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,468.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 1,057,882$3,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,647.73 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…cb1ebacked Yes | 0c | 806,648$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…370fbacked Yes | 4c | 754,224$30,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,741.25 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0773…1539backed Yes | 4c | 741,460$29,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,142.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -70%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…19afbacked Yes | 0c | 733,415$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b4…e7d9backed Yes | 2c | 537,013$10,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,240.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…155bbacked Yes | 4c | 532,167$22,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,034.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8327…8f5ebacked Yes | 1c | 463,066$5,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,140.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed Yes | 3c | 392,155$11,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,996.18 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb576…5a32backed Yes | 3c | 390,184$13,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,102.59 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbe…3f9fbacked Yes | 4c | 364,000$13,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,663.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +898.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc34…f638backed Yes | 1c | 307,412$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53a…19a4backed Yes | 3c | 252,743$6,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,727.36 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 10cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 1c | 234,500$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10c1…9deebacked Yes | 2c | 228,523$4,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,069.07 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be0…32c4backed Yes | 4c | 209,739$9,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,177.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…f829backed Yes | 1c | 205,886$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 3cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 0c | 193,000$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a45…d5f8backed Yes | 4c | 191,978$7,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,785.74 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -95.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…b3c9backed Yes | 4c | 187,795$7,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,029.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 186,541$6,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,940.31 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6e…b682backed Yes | 5c | 185,513$8,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,787.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…f802backed Yes | 1c | 182,897$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…b52ebacked Yes | 4c | 179,569$6,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,570 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Yes | 4c | 177,992$6,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,961.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8b…3c25backed Yes | 0c | 167,630$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…1eb6backed Yes | 6c | 166,398$9,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,996.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbd…57f7backed Yes | 1c | 165,245$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…ef38backed Yes | 1c | 161,870$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…fa9bbacked Yes | 5c | 153,760$7,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,485.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc7…2c68backed Yes | 3c | 152,431$4,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,791.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a06…c656backed Yes | 3c | 151,845$4,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,741.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2a…d14ebacked Yes | 3c | 150,000$5,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,125.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ec…c5e2backed Yes | 2c | 149,874$3,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,728.49 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…6588backed Yes | 4c | 145,909$5,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,946.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…cabdbacked Yes | 0c | 144,371$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa483…1d9ebacked Yes | 0c | 143,054$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f5…7fbbbacked Yes | 4c | 140,265$5,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,526.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bac…e85fbacked Yes | 0c | 135,171$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…9a69backed Yes | 1c | 130,123$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cc…ed76backed Yes | 1c | 130,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…ebb3backed Yes | 3c | 130,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…8aafbacked Yes | 3c | 128,115$3,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,615.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff8…7695backed Yes | 4c | 113,609$4,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,532.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…947abacked Yes | 0c | 111,770$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd111…9effbacked Yes | 1c | 108,628$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f4…8521backed Yes | 5c | 106,747$5,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…3be2backed Yes | 3c | 105,642$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…1a0dbacked Yes | 4c | 103,252$4,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,285.93 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a90…abc3backed Yes | 2c | 103,121$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 0c | 102,997$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.75 | 129 | 20.9%27 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…7349backed Yes | 0c | 100,161$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…71a4backed Yes | 4c | 100,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…2f63backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e52…cb1bbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…eea8backed Yes | 4c | 98,842$3,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,633.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…7729backed Yes | 2c | 97,144$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…6211backed Yes | 0c | 91,667$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28c…5de7backed Yes | 2c | 88,552$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.48 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb62…c185backed Yes | 1c | 84,877$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd365…ccdcbacked Yes | 2c | 78,658$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x508e…5c09backed Yes | 4c | 78,017$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.24 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a7…7998backed Yes | 1c | 77,514$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +738%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bac…3a1cbacked Yes | 0c | 74,690$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb344…2d7fbacked Yes | 0c | 72,787$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa641…e70fbacked Yes | 1c | 72,300$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…fbb0backed Yes | 3c | 71,859$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1a…c549backed Yes | 3c | 69,852$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +228.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3836…2cc0backed Yes | 4c | 68,283$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…a943backed Yes | 3c | 66,743$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e45…24fcbacked Yes | 0c | 65,871$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…5fe1backed Yes | 3c | 64,762$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa979…dedcbacked Yes | 2c | 64,694$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6613…4eacbacked Yes | 0c | 64,573$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe39f…e4bdbacked Yes | 3c | 62,059$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.37 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…7a20backed Yes | 0c | 61,056$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fff…d6f4backed Yes | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…40d5backed Yes | 0c | 59,308$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd8…b20dbacked Yes | 0c | 58,160$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a63…a179backed Yes | 6c | 57,187$3,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,336.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes | 4c | 57,115$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.37 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x084e…8635backed Yes | 3c | 56,643$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.18 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…b5b3backed Yes | 3c | 56,462$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.74 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…98f8backed Yes | 4c | 55,273$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…1237backed Yes | 1c | 54,038$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6782…66e4backed Yes | 0c | 53,835$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15c…0ea3backed Yes | 1c | 53,665$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…a773backed Yes | 3c | 52,212$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9f…2c38backed Yes | 4c | 52,000$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Yes | 1c | 51,471$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7a…201abacked Yes | 5c | 50,514$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.02 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?this page
- Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Cho Kuk be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Hwang Kyo-ahn be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kim Boo-kyum be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kim Dong-yeon be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kim Kyoung-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kwon Yeong-guk be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes won
- Will Lee Nak-yon be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Na Kyung-won be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Oh Se-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Won Hee-ryong be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Yoo Seong-min be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.