World Politics · resolved market
Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf055fe9818647e69e6901cfa4b58d5a91e99789a8a213528bf9fb5e70831bf6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,565,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,603,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,565,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ac9…1796backed Yes | 0c | 1,228,000$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe610…b9eebacked Yes | 1c | 735,017$8,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,582.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d92…0ec8backed Yes | 1c | 477,537$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,136.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…5345backed Yes | 3c | 181,075$5,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked Yes | 1c | 149,577$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.31 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 0c | 105,000$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.07 | 89 | 5.6%5 W · 84 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 80,922$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.91 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3314…65a3backed Yes | 3c | 77,065$2,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…28b6backed Yes | 1c | 75,303$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.59 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 65,500$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d8…1a9ebacked Yes | 3c | 57,400$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b0…b2b6backed Yes | 2c | 57,126$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc467…e0edbacked Yes | 3c | 45,014$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 44,991$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 101 | 8.9%9 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb2…16c5backed Yes | 2c | 33,361$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.54 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea1e…8dc1backed Yes | 1c | 25,478$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 23,788$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4896…1e93backed Yes | 3c | 20,450$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ab…3a0fbacked Yes | 1c | 19,655$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d3…18cdbacked Yes | 1c | 18,592$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 17,876$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6bf5backed Yes | 1c | 15,696$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…ef38backed Yes | 4c | 14,958$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 3c | 14,589$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.21 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1020…3aacbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…231bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8f…bcebbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc9…f272backed Yes | 1c | 9,773$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e9…d355backed Yes | 1c | 9,633$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x474e…9b94backed Yes | 3c | 8,928$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.65 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked Yes | 5c | 8,417$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.49 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b6…298abacked Yes | 1c | 7,702$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d7…5a59backed Yes | 1c | 7,311$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…7b8bbacked Yes | 2c | 6,956$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…771fbacked Yes | 5c | 6,785$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad6…58a1backed Yes | 1c | 6,385$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5e…b8f6backed Yes | 1c | 6,381$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2125…aee8backed Yes | 3c | 6,000$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -60%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 3c | 5,751$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.7 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…b6c2backed Yes | 6c | 5,329$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0885…fb4bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9edb…9f05backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e2…aef0backed Yes | 1c | 4,294$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,181$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…d6fdbacked Yes | 4c | 3,893$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.51 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6465…830fbacked Yes | 6c | 3,706$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e6…cc9abacked Yes | 1c | 3,549$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 3,148$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eba…e26ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,000$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb504…44f5backed Yes | 3c | 2,893$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1973…5e85backed Yes | 2c | 2,712$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767b…2476backed Yes | 2c | 2,364$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff13…f041backed Yes | 3c | 2,338$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe39f…e4bdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,020$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…c86dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb1…9631backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 4c | 1,939$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,855$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92b…eb0fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,743$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb2…f4debacked Yes | 5c | 1,572$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe518…b8edbacked Yes | 1c | 1,515$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b0…f22ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e9…dde2backed Yes | 1c | 1,445$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 5c | 1,440$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983e…c6e6backed Yes | 4c | 1,410$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…9863backed Yes | 3c | 1,260$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a2…755bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,219$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…b707backed Yes | 1c | 1,134$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e13…b1d4backed Yes | 3c | 1,073$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3193…24d3backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28a…c501backed Yes | 4c | 867.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0672…10d6backed Yes | 4c | 784.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 2c | 700$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5103…e3e5backed Yes | 2c | 699.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…c395backed Yes | 7c | 685.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc894…b9f6backed Yes | 2c | 670$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa779…f660backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7d…420fbacked Yes | 7c | 435.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f4…5781backed Yes | 5c | 350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…d641backed Yes | 6c | 320$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 4c | 299.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f4…d28ebacked Yes | 7c | 277.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…70ffbacked Yes | 14c | 262.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 6c | 257$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?this page
- Will Cho Kuk be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Hwang Kyo-ahn be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kim Boo-kyum be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kim Dong-yeon be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kim Kyoung-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kwon Yeong-guk be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes won
- Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Lee Nak-yon be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Na Kyung-won be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Oh Se-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Won Hee-ryong be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Yoo Seong-min be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.