Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcc351fd85fa292139857b3c63b3e5b274b2548477cd915e1baad2e921d4f574

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 3, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $11,957,035
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,267,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,957,035 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 403 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0daf…662bbacked Yes	6c	1,251,552$73,962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73,961.84	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf743…ac84backed Yes	0c	548,707$1,062 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,061.66	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x022e…2a77backed Yes	10c	473,503$45,477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,476.75	80	25%20 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+187.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f0…fe05backed Yes	5c	308,150$14,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,872.15	58	17.2%10 W · 48 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x791e…17ddbacked Yes	4c	183,052$6,881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,880.94	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x305d…54afbacked Yes	5c	182,330$8,796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,796.42	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	5c	180,450$9,563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,563.05	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18d…9863backed Yes	6c	170,319$10,568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,568.35	78	16.7%13 W · 65 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab26…5dc8backed Yes	8c	154,053$11,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,742.36	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15d7…2921backed Yes	4c	147,063$5,449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,449	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-87.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce68…f6b8backed Yes	2c	140,597$2,674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,674.34	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeac9…4072backed Yes	15c	129,013$19,319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,318.61	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc370…98ebbacked Yes	7c	127,286$8,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,477.71	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	18cpaid	-79.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x429d…39a7backed Yes	2c	121,944$2,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,156.08	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	+62.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe138…8448backed Yes	9c	121,626$11,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,004.26	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc3c…b218backed Yes	4c	112,521$4,944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,943.59	63	31.7%20 W · 43 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc331…1d71backed Yes	1c	112,212$1,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,041.4	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+39.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes	2c	111,956$2,759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,759.5	482	24.7%119 W · 363 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes	1c	111,748$665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$665	89	5.6%5 W · 84 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-90.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4559…c3d6backed Yes	1c	98,540$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544.32	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc06…5e19backed Yes	6c	98,391$5,951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,950.69	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83a0…4227backed Yes	4c	97,931$3,864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,863.74	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-80.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe281…e7bfbacked Yes	1c	96,123$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675.61	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbdd4…f3b6backed Yes	13c	95,285$12,662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,662.14	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d73…f538backed Yes	0c	93,000$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39e4…f92bbacked Yes	9c	92,134$8,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,197.09	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-72%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Yes	6c	90,282$5,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,450.39	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x072a…7af9backed Yes	9c	87,667$7,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,515.09	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+2.7wins	+0.27per pick	33cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes	7c	85,733$6,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,306.75	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f9…ed12backed Yes	1c	64,461$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.28	110	13.6%15 W · 95 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6f09…8ff8backed Yes	6c	63,988$4,039 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,038.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x716c…65cabacked Yes	2c	63,501$1,411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,410.71	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8365…e9a6backed Yes	5c	60,012$2,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,840.44	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xab55…df2abacked Yes	4c	53,635$2,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,011.3	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2876…c4b2backed Yes	4c	52,031$2,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,119.98	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.14per pick	15cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x508e…5c09backed Yes	7c	50,095$3,443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,443.32	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes	0c	50,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	44	13.6%6 W · 38 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x190c…2f0bbacked Yes	11c	49,862$5,285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,284.75	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d3a…b03ebacked Yes	7c	49,735$3,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,296.19	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5803…13e7backed Yes	3c	48,423$1,646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,645.99	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7c8…a348backed Yes	3c	47,761$1,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,634.88	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13f0…8a9bbacked Yes	11c	46,367$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7a…a04ebacked Yes	9c	46,051$4,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,139.63	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f0…4e1dbacked Yes	4c	44,566$1,981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,981.06	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	19cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…d0ebbacked Yes	12c	44,513$5,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,510.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4bf8…7519backed Yes	7c	43,074$2,917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,916.98	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.26per pick	34cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7616…69eebacked Yes	9c	42,368$3,961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,961.48	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f0c…8ffcbacked Yes	10c	41,608$4,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,304.53	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes	1c	40,770$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.69	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes	6c	40,000$2,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,280	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc56c…f597backed Yes	8c	39,562$3,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,026.98	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5a…278fbacked Yes	15c	37,355$5,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,425.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb11c…fe41backed Yes	7c	37,020$2,574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,574.27	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac3a…0131backed Yes	1c	36,255$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.66	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	1c	32,859$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.33	513	2.9%15 W · 498 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf479…190ebacked Yes	6c	32,715$1,965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,964.51	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7689…9c96backed Yes	10c	32,419$3,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,326.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a20…b29ebacked Yes	13c	32,033$4,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,151.57	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-24%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10c1…9deebacked Yes	3c	31,907$1,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,034.02	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa7…8ea1backed Yes	3c	31,542$1,063 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,062.88	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	+2.9wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	+447.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23d0…61e7backed Yes	16c	30,410$4,786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,786.14	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	30cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed Yes	6c	29,176$1,886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,886.27	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	30cpaid	+102.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x59a1…92dbbacked Yes	11c	29,139$3,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,211.73	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5676…b103backed Yes	4c	28,782$1,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,232.99	205	38%78 W · 127 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…d77ebacked Yes	10c	28,545$2,866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,866.11	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec2…44c5backed Yes	5c	28,480$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.27per pick	30cpaid	+169.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24aa…c32cbacked Yes	7c	26,435$1,953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,953.28	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed Yes	7c	25,529$1,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,659.97	44	9.1%4 W · 40 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee57…33a7backed Yes	10c	24,873$2,533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,532.86	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7315…ddb2backed Yes	10c	24,788$2,424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,424.27	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	11c	24,727$2,715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,714.77	563	14.6%82 W · 481 L	-39.3wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x64f3…34b6backed Yes	2c	24,489$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572.82	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes	5c	24,025$1,231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,231.37	62	29%18 W · 44 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x614d…1546backed Yes	12c	23,000$2,838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,838.21	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c93…4e2fbacked Yes	10c	22,602$2,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,217.07	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+71.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a88…f866backed Yes	4c	21,677$935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$935.3	78	28.2%22 W · 56 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43c4…c795backed Yes	7c	20,529$1,397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,396.71	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8912…06b2backed Yes	8c	19,614$1,479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,478.8	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d24…a0b3backed Yes	8c	19,592$1,516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,515.92	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7752…a524backed Yes	0c	19,500$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17e…0868backed Yes	16c	19,160$3,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,084.01	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7c3…885fbacked Yes	11c	18,805$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc9…f272backed Yes	3c	18,366$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.09	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+68.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c21…d2febacked Yes	5c	18,262$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$870.02	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6028…10eebacked Yes	4c	18,108$719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…7eaabacked Yes	6c	17,000$1,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,011	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9659…f19abacked Yes	5c	16,937$792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$791.97	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c0f…0d68backed Yes	4c	16,726$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$652.98	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-81.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes	2c	16,365$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.83	47	29.8%14 W · 33 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4d1…3c4cbacked Yes	5c	16,190$806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$806.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6977…394abacked Yes	3c	16,047$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2644…daecbacked Yes	11c	15,124$1,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,709.94	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes	10c	15,000$1,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,520	165	35.8%59 W · 106 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa62b…ae5ebacked Yes	4c	14,998$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19bb…a23dbacked Yes	7c	14,946$1,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,054.16	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9297…e0ccbacked Yes	7c	13,445$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001.15	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…d08cbacked Yes	8c	13,297$1,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,045.64	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa772…05efbacked Yes	6c	13,258$785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$785.08	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e2…60cbbacked Yes	5c	13,135$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.38	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	8cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1026…6738backed Yes	13c	12,458$1,613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,613.12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event