World Politics · resolved market
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4f51ae09144ebedb1e4329a28597dcb25217be1050fb76b86335837943bf519
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,035,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,638,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,035,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,962 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0daf…662bbacked No | 12c | 8,175,456$993,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993,192.6 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 0c | 948,466$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.57 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…cb1ebacked No | 0c | 810,769$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472f…7b49backed No | 16c | 641,284$101,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,580.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa847…88a5backed No | 7c | 629,913$42,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,658.78 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -87%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed92…e5a1backed No | 17c | 580,591$97,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,728.34 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +643.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…15e3backed No | 21c | 553,312$116,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,607.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…4206backed Yes | 79c | 534,729$422,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,611.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…e252backed No | 2c | 486,065$10,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,322.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa28b…1984backed No | 8c | 477,017$38,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,161.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…4372backed Yes | 80c | 449,119$359,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,999.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 17c | 396,844$65,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,926.23 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…bd45backed No | 17c | 382,477$63,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,327.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked No | 14c | 369,861$51,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,425.74 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…1e85backed No | 3c | 350,800$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +116.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…5d44backed Yes | 79c | 337,000$264,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,225.46 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…c056backed No | 5c | 327,548$14,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,996.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed No | 0c | 308,123$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.1 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa7…8ea1backed No | 2c | 308,000$7,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,252.9 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | +447.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…2715backed No | 8c | 300,000$23,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,592.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b21…eaf9backed No | 0c | 288,973$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.71 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6431…fc85backed No | 3c | 286,924$9,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,977.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5891…af5fbacked No | 1c | 245,840$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 7c | 213,813$15,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,751.9 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6af8…21b0backed No | 0c | 206,790$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.58 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…0382backed No | 23c | 195,421$45,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,168.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44bf…ea02backed No | 3c | 171,841$5,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,289.01 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…d286backed Yes | 79c | 158,125$124,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,718.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d73…bae7backed Yes | 77c | 157,679$121,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,547.33 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9464…bd9fbacked No | 20c | 150,039$29,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,912.03 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.22per pick | 27cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed No | 18c | 140,761$25,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,776.33 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfafb…1afdbacked No | 2c | 137,452$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Yes | 77c | 134,972$103,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,293.67 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…a348backed Yes | 76c | 130,092$98,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,142.65 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ce…b4e7backed No | 2c | 129,636$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…4eccbacked Yes | 76c | 125,600$95,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,139 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…296cbacked No | 4c | 120,959$4,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,427.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9674backed Yes | 77c | 119,513$92,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,314.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…5fb5backed No | 24c | 116,283$28,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,410.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…0953backed No | 0c | 111,667$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…3be2backed No | 8c | 109,744$8,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,843.05 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed No | 5c | 109,129$5,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,318.17 | 134 | 13.4%18 W · 116 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc370…98ebbacked No | 19c | 107,099$20,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,859.76 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…f3b6backed Yes | 77c | 104,323$80,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,496.28 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a0…1de0backed Yes | 74c | 102,629$75,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,760.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…faa3backed No | 14c | 100,000$13,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,550 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb6…371abacked No | 0c | 98,627$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +356.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 77c | 97,534$75,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,296.53 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…3a40backed No | 8c | 95,788$7,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,697.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…2c56backed No | 1c | 95,655$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f56…0ff4backed No | 1c | 94,277$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da7…0bc8backed No | 5c | 85,361$4,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,255.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5908…8265backed No | 15c | 84,044$12,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,824.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea5…b5fabacked No | 2c | 81,826$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd107…bde5backed No | 1c | 81,758$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 3cpaid | +1,779.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43c4…c795backed No | 16c | 81,068$12,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,755.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed No | 21c | 80,202$16,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,891.17 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe7…7896backed No | 4c | 80,132$3,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,212.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -63%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf261…ddb3backed No | 0c | 80,006$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b44…230abacked Yes | 78c | 77,305$59,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,310.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe91e…1f12backed No | 7c | 73,710$4,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,918.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…9a26backed No | 23c | 73,428$16,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,743.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…33c4backed Yes | 79c | 70,571$55,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,881.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa18b…331cbacked No | 0c | 69,687$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001d…c013backed No | 1c | 65,700$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c8…96ddbacked No | 1c | 64,996$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…a39cbacked No | 1c | 64,230$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc065…0fcabacked No | 21c | 61,660$12,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,848.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…6718backed No | 0c | 59,824$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…d560backed Yes | 75c | 59,714$44,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,916.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef58…6b75backed Yes | 76c | 57,742$43,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,880.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d5…6963backed Yes | 78c | 57,630$45,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,619.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe6…f28ebacked No | 19c | 56,911$10,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,840.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 4c | 56,902$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.87 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…5716backed Yes | 79c | 55,872$44,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,733.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93cf…06f2backed No | 0c | 54,616$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…f270backed No | 10c | 53,994$5,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b4…0ac6backed No | 1c | 53,703$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466c…c0fcbacked No | 0c | 52,382$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8175…672cbacked No | 0c | 51,899$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e8…a2cabacked No | 4c | 51,164$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10c1…9deebacked No | 12c | 50,878$6,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,105.3 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…83f9backed Yes | 79c | 50,568$39,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,571.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9627…86b0backed No | 0c | 50,170$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 78c | 50,000$39,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,950 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c60…a068backed No | 0c | 50,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe138…8448backed Yes | 78c | 49,667$38,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,926.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…353abacked Yes | 78c | 49,545$38,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,055.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc16…d936backed No | 21c | 49,469$10,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,525.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +50%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2d…8cd1backed No | 3c | 48,719$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +201.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2051…70dcbacked No | 4c | 47,117$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…e881backed No | 23c | 46,900$10,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,727.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +296.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead4…90e3backed No | 0c | 46,000$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa67c…9325backed No | 4c | 45,900$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e61…94d6backed No | 2c | 45,715$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb2…16c5backed No | 22c | 44,305$9,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,663.47 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…7319backed No | 24c | 43,923$10,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,603.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -71%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aad…4e00backed Yes | 79c | 43,587$34,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,150.6 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…d418backed Yes | 79c | 42,253$33,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,899.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db1…8269backed Yes | 78c | 41,739$32,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,322.28 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?this page
- Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Cho Kuk be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Hwang Kyo-ahn be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kim Boo-kyum be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kim Dong-yeon be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kim Kyoung-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kwon Yeong-guk be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Lee Nak-yon be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Na Kyung-won be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Oh Se-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Won Hee-ryong be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Yoo Seong-min be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.