World Politics · resolved market
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be elected the next president of South Korea?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b4af0d905b10f5ec2c2966a74b4dcc58b8a42620dd3a7375785de0d48166933
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,070,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,189,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,070,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe311…0ac3backed Yes | 0c | 1,795,614$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…92dbbacked Yes | 3c | 866,086$27,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,570.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…9c74backed Yes | 0c | 546,899$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.78 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…ffd4backed Yes | 0c | 483,233$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe87c…eb00backed Yes | 0c | 413,341$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe844…fe1abacked Yes | 0c | 303,020$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.87 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…1339backed Yes | 0c | 235,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 195,947$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.95 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf63…5a4cbacked Yes | 0c | 188,064$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.72 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 174,292$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.67 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10c1…9deebacked Yes | 0c | 150,008$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.31 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…064bbacked Yes | 0c | 139,171$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.95 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716c…65cabacked Yes | 0c | 119,868$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.78 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 112,580$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.55 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea2…7ef6backed Yes | 0c | 108,399$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 0c | 105,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.69 | 89 | 5.6%5 W · 84 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…7b7dbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 0c | 88,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 57,974$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 101 | 8.9%9 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…b218backed Yes | 0c | 53,757$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.5 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…aaa1backed Yes | 0c | 52,328$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.64 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Yes | 0c | 49,985$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209a…af08backed Yes | 0c | 33,516$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 31,894$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.87 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ae…06ecbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…1017backed Yes | 0c | 25,683$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97b…0c86backed Yes | 1c | 20,625$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.71 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…480dbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…0d1cbacked Yes | 0c | 18,710$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 0c | 18,190$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 1c | 17,000$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…4227backed Yes | 1c | 16,354$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2768…e6c9backed Yes | 0c | 16,177$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c0…7a42backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…4252backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…60acbacked Yes | 0c | 10,201$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…231bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x501f…f746backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +258.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5260…fd71backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc802…99a1backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8f…bcebbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +417.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ad…d2cabacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +200.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 2c | 7,226$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.41 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474e…9b94backed Yes | 2c | 7,071$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.56 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc9…f272backed Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…09a6backed Yes | 0c | 6,287$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x962b…6f3dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,285$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 1c | 6,119$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,159$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 4,246$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc960…595ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,675$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…43efbacked Yes | 1c | 2,522$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…b571backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1efd…5bd6backed Yes | 3c | 896.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be elected the next president of South Korea?this page
- Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Cho Kuk be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Hwang Kyo-ahn be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kim Boo-kyum be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kim Dong-yeon be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kim Kyoung-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kwon Yeong-guk be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes won
- Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Lee Nak-yon be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Na Kyung-won be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Oh Se-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Won Hee-ryong be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Yoo Seong-min be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.