Will Kim Dong-yeon be elected the next president of South Korea?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab53ef40981b322cd90b06272dacbd778a427d77655898f1d9a741cf5b5e3d50

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 3, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $7,888,208
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $894,358

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,888,208 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf18d…9863backed Yes	0c	753,457$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$753.46	78	16.7%13 W · 65 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x529f…ffd4backed Yes	0c	751,707$752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$751.71	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf743…ac84backed Yes	0c	545,047$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.05	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6028…10eebacked Yes	0c	500,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc851…cd2abacked Yes	0c	400,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed Yes	0c	392,992$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.96	44	9.1%4 W · 40 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbef6…f2f9backed Yes	0c	315,104$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.09	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+2.5wins	+0.21per pick	13cpaid	+647.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbccd…c5e5backed Yes	0c	258,118$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.11	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	31cpaid	-77%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	0c	209,352$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.35	513	2.9%15 W · 498 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes	0c	187,149$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.64	412	1%4 W · 408 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+171.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10c1…9deebacked Yes	0c	148,653$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.63	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes	0c	124,283$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.84	452	1.1%5 W · 447 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+156.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f30…f73bbacked Yes	0c	100,060$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.18	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	9cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes	0c	100,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	135	25.2%34 W · 101 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c21…d2febacked Yes	0c	100,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb73…370fbacked Yes	0c	100,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes	0c	83,044$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	89	5.6%5 W · 84 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-90.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes	0c	80,456$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.41	61	31.1%19 W · 42 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x761d…0687backed Yes	0c	78,094$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.89	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x653a…bb03backed Yes	1c	74,046$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbd…3b25backed Yes	0c	68,210$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.21	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac6f…3742backed Yes	0c	67,710$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.71	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked Yes	0c	63,448$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.16	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef66…b08abacked Yes	0c	62,000$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85bd…9a38backed Yes	0c	57,443$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.44	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+16%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0554…da2abacked Yes	0c	53,333$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27e2…c950backed Yes	0c	50,160$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74e1…1017backed Yes	0c	49,752$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.77	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5215…e0d2backed Yes	0c	48,528$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.51	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.26per pick	40cpaid	-69%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbeb2…b716backed Yes	0c	46,110$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.11	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-37%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d0…8d02backed Yes	0c	40,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+220.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa299…6051backed Yes	0c	40,000$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.48	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd448…d1b7backed Yes	0c	30,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe844…fe1abacked Yes	0c	30,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73cb…2191backed Yes	0c	29,280$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe2f…a51abacked Yes	0c	25,404$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab9d…3127backed Yes	0c	25,300$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.3	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x716c…65cabacked Yes	0c	25,174$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.86	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68f9…0be1backed Yes	0c	24,317$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac3a…0131backed Yes	0c	22,000$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…cc9abacked Yes	0c	20,194$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.39	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	68	4.4%3 W · 65 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+417.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb429…3f39backed Yes	0c	20,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb864…11dcbacked Yes	0c	19,436$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.68	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f73…8d13backed Yes	0c	17,334$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.66	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	23cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d2…c588backed Yes	0c	15,581$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.58	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.32per pick	43cpaid	+65.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb576…5a32backed Yes	0c	15,505$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.8	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce82…b52ebacked Yes	1c	15,242$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfbe…4ef3backed Yes	0c	15,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-73%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec2…7229backed Yes	0c	15,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf63…5a4cbacked Yes	0c	14,463$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.73	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-81.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8451…6f97backed Yes	0c	13,784$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes	0c	12,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	29	0%0 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf5…95adbacked Yes	0c	11,934$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.93	59	33.9%20 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x422b…21b1backed Yes	0c	11,860$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66c1…2c72backed Yes	0c	11,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	71	23.9%17 W · 54 L	+6.0wins	+0.08per pick	16cpaid	+86.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b78…b81bbacked Yes	1c	10,845$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe238…27b3backed Yes	0c	10,609$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.33	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe0…2576backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9cc…387abacked Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	85	29.4%25 W · 60 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac31…9ac0backed Yes	0c	9,957$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x090b…75bfbacked Yes	0c	8,437$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.87	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5898…5028backed Yes	1c	7,520$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.6	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab4…13b2backed Yes	0c	7,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.99	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	31cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5676…b103backed Yes	0c	6,466$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.76	205	38%78 W · 127 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	0c	6,225$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.35	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…7eaabacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50e8…da55backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3de…a167backed Yes	0c	4,680$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	+344.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa414…0186backed Yes	1c	1,056$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Kim Dong-yeon be elected the next president of South Korea?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event