Will Yoo Seong-min be elected the next president of South Korea?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x274505b9c15c786063eb456f7a74cf4b65fff7784741f3104126833b909ebe3b

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 3, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $8,769,789
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,062,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,769,789 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbd5c…62bbbacked Yes	0c	3,124,040$4,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,095.21	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	18cpaid	-78.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes	0c	609,563$745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$745.03	58	15.5%9 W · 49 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x679f…87e1backed Yes	0c	518,160$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f53…a5eabacked Yes	0c	402,450$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.45	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	2cpaid	+514%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x638a…49f4backed Yes	0c	366,000$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	24cpaid	-78.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a45…d5f8backed Yes	0c	202,861$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.72	29	3.4%1 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	9cpaid	-95.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b6b…3e7abacked Yes	0c	160,196$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5676…b103backed Yes	0c	116,686$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.11	205	38%78 W · 127 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4583…bfebbacked Yes	0c	110,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-63%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b32…834cbacked Yes	0c	109,580$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.58	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49c4…8d6bbacked Yes	0c	105,000$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes	0c	102,500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	89	5.6%5 W · 84 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-90.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c37…92a4backed Yes	0c	101,709$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.39	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes	0c	101,477$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.95	412	1%4 W · 408 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+171.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	0c	96,110$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.11	513	2.9%15 W · 498 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffbf…2587backed Yes	0c	90,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb56b…a2d2backed Yes	0c	79,987$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.51	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+3.4wins	+0.17per pick	13cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x97ac…3e1ebacked Yes	0c	60,000$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	18cpaid	-89%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x022e…2a77backed Yes	0c	56,419$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.82	80	25%20 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+187.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1691…f06dbacked Yes	0c	55,000$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	30	20%6 W · 24 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	11cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8815…e147backed Yes	0c	53,281$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.94	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+69.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…9d80backed Yes	0c	46,069$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.76	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb937…9d0dbacked Yes	0c	40,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1373…2e44backed Yes	0c	33,491$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.49	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	10cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56e2…60cbbacked Yes	0c	33,333$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	8cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x693e…c4b0backed Yes	0c	33,000$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	10cpaid	-30%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c7…e05abacked Yes	0c	30,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe627…ab1bbacked Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	13cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…7b8bbacked Yes	0c	24,525$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.78	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43df…2ab3backed Yes	0c	22,960$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1020…3aacbacked Yes	1c	21,900$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.8	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-74.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes	0c	20,366$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.64	452	1.1%5 W · 447 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+156.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcc…b294backed Yes	0c	20,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c1…dab9backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x221d…7207backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca68…222abacked Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	12cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f30…f73bbacked Yes	0c	20,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	9cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes	0c	19,994$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.99	68	4.4%3 W · 65 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+417.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5898…5028backed Yes	0c	19,768$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.39	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22d0…936fbacked Yes	0c	19,220$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.44	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+33%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2768…e6c9backed Yes	0c	13,124$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.12	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-81.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2069…c7cfbacked Yes	0c	12,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	+7.5wins	+0.15per pick	15cpaid	+166.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	11,947$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	101	8.9%9 W · 92 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+115.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0416…2977backed Yes	0c	10,930$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.93	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd351…87f7backed Yes	0c	10,270$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97f6…f5a6backed Yes	0c	10,200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09d8…12a5backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1769…974ebacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x179e…ebe8backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+84.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc542…231bbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	0%0 W · 7 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d6b…fdbbbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6aa3…da37backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+3.0wins	+0.15per pick	15cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc69…7857backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8852…c5c8backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x125d…63b1backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.38per pick	19cpaid	+77.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x76c2…09b0backed Yes	0c	9,880$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7a…201abacked Yes	0c	5,295$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.18	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d8f…bcebbacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	0%0 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e01…cfeebacked Yes	0c	4,937$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.81	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.9wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	0c	4,715$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.38	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9d5…a1ecbacked Yes	0c	4,508$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.53	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	13cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe39f…e4bdbacked Yes	0c	4,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f4…5781backed Yes	0c	3,034$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.14	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Yoo Seong-min be elected the next president of South Korea?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event