World Politics · resolved market
Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ad0371eb2adc9174872a91c34ebdb45a2449fb1e3306b36ebda7544cef3fca6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,733,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,906,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,733,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7124…dae9backed Yes | 1c | 2,484,555$22,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,608.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…285bbacked Yes | 0c | 627,423$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2876…c4b2backed Yes | 1c | 521,214$4,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,358.16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1eb…56b0backed Yes | 0c | 368,523$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabf…d0ffbacked Yes | 1c | 333,332$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983e…c6e6backed Yes | 3c | 327,173$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,199.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Yes | 4c | 283,312$11,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,677.74 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 275,291$8,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,975.66 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3a…b03ebacked Yes | 5c | 252,257$13,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,447.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44bf…ea02backed Yes | 2c | 243,933$3,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,913.06 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f7…5d55backed Yes | 0c | 240,407$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…2715backed Yes | 2c | 221,114$4,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,193.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2b…b564backed Yes | 0c | 217,385$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa036…ada0backed Yes | 1c | 175,143$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ba…b2c4backed Yes | 5c | 147,177$6,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,656.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb8…2564backed Yes | 0c | 133,106$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 130,952$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.15 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 4c | 130,795$4,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,717.16 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…df8ebacked Yes | 5c | 123,535$6,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,631.17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…f270backed Yes | 2c | 119,516$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.83 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9eb…249fbacked Yes | 1c | 110,909$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…2ffdbacked Yes | 3c | 105,780$3,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 0c | 105,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 89 | 5.6%5 W · 84 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 100,915$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.12 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…3e92backed Yes | 1c | 98,329$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…dcd5backed Yes | 0c | 90,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 88,396$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x181c…3151backed Yes | 2c | 87,176$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ea…9b24backed Yes | 4c | 85,802$3,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,279.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c4…96b9backed Yes | 0c | 85,541$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f92bbacked Yes | 5c | 80,000$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -72%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 74,287$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.66 | 101 | 8.9%9 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…c3d6backed Yes | 1c | 71,508$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.57 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 0c | 70,643$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…b7bebacked Yes | 1c | 67,450$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbec…6634backed Yes | 3c | 66,742$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed92…e5a1backed Yes | 3c | 66,058$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.8 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +643.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 4c | 63,183$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.93 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…c2d9backed Yes | 2c | 63,075$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f3…f43bbacked Yes | 2c | 61,030$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…5580backed Yes | 4c | 60,394$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…1826backed Yes | 4c | 54,489$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 5c | 53,512$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.56 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…3923backed Yes | 2c | 52,907$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecd…0703backed Yes | 4c | 51,639$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3314…65a3backed Yes | 1c | 51,069$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 4c | 48,488$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.63 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8d…c207backed Yes | 1c | 42,918$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…504abacked Yes | 5c | 37,546$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x890c…ee71backed Yes | 3c | 36,120$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…7cc0backed Yes | 2c | 35,644$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc90…f659backed Yes | 5c | 34,276$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac3a…0131backed Yes | 0c | 34,200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes | 5c | 31,658$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x767b…2476backed Yes | 5c | 31,289$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…e4cdbacked Yes | 4c | 30,705$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Yes | 4c | 30,400$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 110 | 13.6%15 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…6ab8backed Yes | 4c | 28,286$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +261.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0885…fb4bbacked Yes | 1c | 28,132$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb11c…fe41backed Yes | 3c | 27,890$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.9 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…0d68backed Yes | 4c | 27,249$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.54 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4007…a7d2backed Yes | 1c | 25,211$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…854dbacked Yes | 1c | 23,183$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf25…cd94backed Yes | 4c | 22,064$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…b18dbacked Yes | 2c | 21,875$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…0b43backed Yes | 5c | 21,730$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…f433backed Yes | 1c | 21,499$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…7843backed Yes | 5c | 21,263$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6906…51c2backed Yes | 4c | 21,008$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 12cpaid | +301.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…3b8bbacked Yes | 1c | 20,098$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 2c | 20,015$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.93 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe620…db91backed Yes | 4c | 18,735$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…fda3backed Yes | 4c | 18,143$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 17,868$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.22 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a8…e498backed Yes | 1c | 17,123$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd139…2bc9backed Yes | 1c | 17,063$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd556…d4c9backed Yes | 4c | 16,969$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.77 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014f…8b4dbacked Yes | 4c | 16,848$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1f…9446backed Yes | 4c | 15,550$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.9 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…4a37backed Yes | 4c | 15,489$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd528…96f2backed Yes | 5c | 14,670$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832f…ef80backed Yes | 2c | 14,603$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.45 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…549bbacked Yes | 1c | 14,187$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…9558backed Yes | 4c | 14,032$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.38 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f30…f73bbacked Yes | 2c | 14,000$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1b…1ad1backed Yes | 2c | 13,943$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a5…d5bebacked Yes | 1c | 13,926$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…6bfcbacked Yes | 3c | 13,844$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.9 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474e…9b94backed Yes | 4c | 13,708$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.04 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f59…14aebacked Yes | 6c | 13,672$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f4…5781backed Yes | 1c | 13,502$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.8 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c3…c0f4backed Yes | 2c | 13,110$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +417.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0175…51aebacked Yes | 1c | 12,688$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510b…376fbacked Yes | 5c | 12,632$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6b…3e7abacked Yes | 4c | 12,214$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…6b1abacked Yes | 3c | 12,144$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c3…490bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,995$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6122…ee7cbacked Yes | 4c | 11,790$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.79 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?this page
- Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Cho Kuk be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Hwang Kyo-ahn be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kim Boo-kyum be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kim Dong-yeon be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kim Kyoung-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kwon Yeong-guk be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes won
- Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Lee Nak-yon be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Na Kyung-won be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Oh Se-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Won Hee-ryong be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Yoo Seong-min be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.