Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22b9b1f528f0e617ce84581d78d13536eaad4782c9056ac2521d7204213b5654

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 3, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,457,912
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,687,180

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,457,912 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7616…69eebacked Yes	5c	626,140$30,647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,647.02	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1872…ae0fbacked Yes	4c	418,426$15,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,180.6	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	4c	145,192$5,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,665.77	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa43d…df8ebacked Yes	3c	112,497$3,857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,856.78	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes	0c	105,000$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.8	89	5.6%5 W · 84 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-90.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x073a…e4eabacked Yes	5c	104,098$5,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,344.36	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x022e…2a77backed Yes	3c	68,575$2,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,098.67	80	25%20 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+187.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	1c	63,990$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.58	101	8.9%9 W · 92 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+115.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3088…a1bfbacked Yes	4c	44,201$1,772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,771.96	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb11c…fe41backed Yes	2c	34,319$830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$830.28	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c0f…0d68backed Yes	6c	29,193$1,778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,778.5	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-81.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aaf…1f8ebacked Yes	4c	28,401$1,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,130.42	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	+4.2wins	+0.15per pick	13cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe50a…eb99backed Yes	3c	24,234$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$718.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46f0…fe05backed Yes	3c	22,473$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.97	58	17.2%10 W · 48 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x501f…f746backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	87	26.4%23 W · 64 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	+258.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes	3c	18,809$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.71	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ab…9a26backed Yes	6c	17,395$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5803…13e7backed Yes	3c	17,343$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.58	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bc9…f272backed Yes	3c	16,512$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.81	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+68.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x305d…54afbacked Yes	5c	15,493$824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$823.89	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes	3c	15,000$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.5	47	29.8%14 W · 33 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3370…010fbacked Yes	4c	15,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0b…6913backed Yes	5c	13,333$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696.66	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa750…b6c2backed Yes	3c	13,249$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.61	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd17e…0868backed Yes	6c	13,179$781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$781.4	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Yes	4c	12,906$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+4.2wins	+0.14per pick	34cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf29c…4d04backed Yes	4c	12,408$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.34	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e4f…28b6backed Yes	3c	11,815$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.04	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73b9…ecc4backed Yes	3c	11,534$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.12	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	+100.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87fa…3341backed Yes	6c	11,406$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.39	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63d7…5a59backed Yes	3c	11,215$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.78	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x084e…8635backed Yes	3c	11,154$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.4	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-73.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff9e…56a1backed Yes	3c	10,927$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.6	65	36.9%24 W · 41 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa75c…7e65backed Yes	6c	10,836$693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$693.46	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1020…3aacbacked Yes	0c	10,833$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.33	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-74.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4520…65b0backed Yes	6c	10,803$604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$603.96	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9659…f19abacked Yes	6c	10,561$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$626.68	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d2…b150backed Yes	4c	10,206$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6641…4a1abacked Yes	5c	10,158$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1bd…2992backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab0…3b33backed Yes	2c	10,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.23per pick	11cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d76…6dacbacked Yes	6c	9,945$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572.72	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+3.1wins	+0.22per pick	20cpaid	+223.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaba9…a356backed Yes	3c	9,863$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.81	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa772…05efbacked Yes	7c	9,859$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a7…9ddcbacked Yes	4c	9,147$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.05	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb94f…53ecbacked Yes	5c	9,068$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.67	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	10cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2125…aee8backed Yes	2c	9,000$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-60%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe281…e7bfbacked Yes	1c	8,966$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.68	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf915…2339backed Yes	4c	8,807$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.27	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d20…068abacked Yes	5c	8,794$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes	0c	8,589$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.38	452	1.1%5 W · 447 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+156.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5902…7841backed Yes	3c	8,441$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.01	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66f2…718cbacked Yes	3c	8,331$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	26cpaid	+80.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5d2…0438backed Yes	3c	8,321$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.28	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa84…e985backed Yes	2c	8,202$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.45	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88a6…cf2fbacked Yes	4c	7,881$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.78	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.47per pick	20cpaid	+149.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	4c	7,514$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.79	1,022	28%286 W · 736 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c21…d2febacked Yes	4c	7,023$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.67	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7190…02d8backed Yes	3c	6,879$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	23	13%3 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfab7…953abacked Yes	6c	6,533$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.27	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-39%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8c22…836ebacked Yes	5c	6,167$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e98…ae0fbacked Yes	10c	5,971$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	+67.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5abb…d327backed Yes	4c	5,080$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.1	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-51%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb2…16c5backed Yes	3c	5,077$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.18	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	20cpaid	-83.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ac…3e1ebacked Yes	2c	5,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	18cpaid	-89%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd448…d1b7backed Yes	3c	4,908$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.83	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e2…60cbbacked Yes	4c	4,757$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.2	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	8cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f97…9850backed Yes	5c	4,596$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.27	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd86e…338dbacked Yes	3c	4,533$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.42	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+32%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33fe…b6e0backed Yes	4c	4,425$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.27	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	4,254$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.45	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95e6…cc9abacked Yes	3c	4,064$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.23	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2eb5…9fe7backed Yes	3c	4,063$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f01…26d7backed Yes	3c	4,000$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ab…4f12backed Yes	2c	3,934$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcd2…d6fdbacked Yes	3c	3,862$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.86	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf81e…6f17backed Yes	6c	3,854$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.41	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3c…b218backed Yes	6c	3,803$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.4	63	31.7%20 W · 43 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	2c	3,630$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.47	513	2.9%15 W · 498 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe145…62ecbacked Yes	6c	3,454$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.13	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-45%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c7d…420fbacked Yes	3c	3,267$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-84.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdec2…b04abacked Yes	4c	3,189$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.33	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-3.0wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a4c…d411backed Yes	3c	3,012$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.09	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6fe…71e4backed Yes	4c	3,000$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1eb2…f4debacked Yes	3c	3,000$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.5	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x861a…6ab4backed Yes	2c	2,980$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.52	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb864…11dcbacked Yes	3c	2,845$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x540d…2a08backed Yes	3c	2,642$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.6	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28be…405fbacked Yes	2c	2,619$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf39…3101backed Yes	4c	2,611$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.62	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes	6c	2,493$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.14	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x602c…f71abacked Yes	5c	2,447$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes	5c	2,356$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.44	278	28.1%78 W · 200 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02a9…8e53backed Yes	4c	2,312$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf17…094ebacked Yes	2c	2,219$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.65	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde81…d44bbacked Yes	2c	2,141$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.68	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa8…3f8cbacked Yes	5c	2,138$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e11…2f39backed Yes	5c	2,105$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaef2…4c00backed Yes	4c	2,065$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.61	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x832f…ef80backed Yes	2c	2,024$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	-3.5wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-76.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event