TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc3c…b218

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
235
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT11854.2%64 W · 54 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.6
Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.16
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.5
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.4
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.18
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+124.2%+$55.4
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.6
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$93.6
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT6331.7%20 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-18.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the People Power Party win 4 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+992.9%+$109.19
Will the Democratic Party win 11 upper-level local government races?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.45
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+532.9%+$378.87
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,091Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+247.3%+$2,697.08
Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$203.46
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$176.55
25% South Korea tariff in effect by August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+58.8%+$111.48
Yoon in jail before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,492Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+74.4%+$2,598.49
Yoon arrested by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,077Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+54.6%+$3,318.29
Lee Jae-myung arrested before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$206.85
Yoon in jail before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,854Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,853.85
North Korea missile test by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.51
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 14-17%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,841Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+37.2%+$1,801.97
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$591.93
Will Lee Jae-myung win 35-40% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$214.82
Will Lee Jun-seok win less than 2% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$268.26
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$713Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$713.38
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$135.75
Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,017.37
Will Lee Jae-myung win by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,887Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,886.88
Will another person win the South Korean election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.97
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 5-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,474Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,474.5
Will Lee Jae-myung win 55-60% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,645Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+40%+$1,058.67
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 2% and 5% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$369.19
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$7,308Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+331.3%+$24,216.35
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2025, EST3016.7%5 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 725-749 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$116.39
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$675.47
Will Elon tweet 675-699 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,291Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+34.8%+$796.24
Will Elon tweet 625-649 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$246.72
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$163.66
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$41.52
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$59.76
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$79.76
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+57.2%+$658.19
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+124.8%+$19.68
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$476.07
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$312.96
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$183.78
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$91.23
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$56.21
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$32.2
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+700.3%+$551.79
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Dec 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Dec 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$75.97
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Dec 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$32
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 13-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+387.7%+$139.13
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,399.91
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.46
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$991Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+192.1%+$1,904.61
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,880
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$912Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+30.9%+$281.45
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+287.6%+$374.72
Khamenei seen in public before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.02
Israel strike on Iran on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.53
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,366.05
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,685Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+44.8%+$755.7
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-48.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$385.63
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+80.3%+$444.62
Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.56
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Vietnam before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$813.9
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+42%+$121
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,930Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,929.75
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,411Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,411.45
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Friday June  27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,244.09
US military action against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$733Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+41.9%+$307.09
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) $4-6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$858Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+162.5%+$1,394.17
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) $6-8B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,215.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.33
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.83
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.