Us Politics · resolved market

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fc0b9f78715861810ba3610cf23b28771b289ca5a4837ea935b9f8cbba557ec

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 1, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $117,318
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $115,029

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,318 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes	2c	9,576$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.27	41	39%16 W · 25 L	+4.3wins	+0.10per pick	29cpaid	+69.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5095…c97cbacked Yes	32c	6,897$2,236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,235.66	73	54.8%40 W · 33 L	+5.5wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked No	66c	6,814$4,521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,292.49	76	38.2%29 W · 47 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-29%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe281…e7bfbacked Yes	4c	6,303$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.52	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	1c	5,496$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.38	398	9.5%38 W · 360 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a85…c04bbacked Yes	4c	2,833$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.81	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	21cpaid	+36%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf743…ac84backed Yes	13c	2,545$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.9	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Yes	20c	2,338$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.39	76	38.2%29 W · 47 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	13c	1,671$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.09	1,136	6.3%72 W · 1,064 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64eb…364abacked Yes	10c	1,574$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.2	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0bc…d428backed Yes	17c	1,251$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.22	142	30.3%43 W · 99 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes	16c	1,223$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.05	194	35.1%68 W · 126 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb61…58ffbacked Yes	64c	1,214$783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$782.54	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x110a…38a8backed Yes	9c	1,192$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.53	39	7.7%3 W · 36 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6590…ad78backed Yes	18c	1,189$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.09	73	32.9%24 W · 49 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe65f…a749backed Yes	33c	1,150$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.96	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.12per pick	35cpaid	-19%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes	38c	1,110$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.02	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes	18c	1,071$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.24	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-70.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes	9c	1,050$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.25	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1955…aef1backed Yes	16c	1,041$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.15	165	44.8%74 W · 91 L	+10.9wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea0d…e1c3backed Yes	16c	1,020$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.6	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdea4…15dbbacked Yes	13c	1,000$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.44	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc3c…b218backed No	55c	998.22$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.62	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No	78c	968.77$751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.36	174	52.9%92 W · 82 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes	2c	944.77$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.36	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	+8.7wins	+0.12per pick	32cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x61c7…82cebacked Yes	19c	851.7$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.9	64	23.4%15 W · 49 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-42%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked No	45c	809.23$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$442.18	95	57.9%55 W · 40 L	+9.5wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x81e1…7265backed Yes	14c	782.03$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.48	108	34.3%37 W · 71 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes	15c	741.16$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed No	65c	685.9$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.83	46	73.9%34 W · 12 L	+6.6wins	+0.14per pick	59cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x712f…b93bbacked Yes	10c	649.86$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.99	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x656e…65d2backed Yes	36c	648.12$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.49	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-3.4wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf39…3101backed No	66c	620$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.8	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	67cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…b243backed Yes	12c	586.21$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.58	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+5.4wins	+0.15per pick	38cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd5b…2903backed Yes	17c	558.82$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	15cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02f0…57b6backed Yes	11c	534.28$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.57	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-70.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed7c…da06backed No	39c	534$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.74	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+5.1wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes	30c	515.25$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.26	87	36.8%32 W · 55 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	12c	500$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.83	567	33.2%188 W · 379 L	-40.9wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd89b…7945backed Yes	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	42	31%13 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes	31c	500$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-2.9wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fea…d383backed Yes	4c	497.36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.27	59	22%13 W · 46 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+74.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02e5…1ad6backed No	74c	475.25$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.25	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda24…6cf5backed No	66c	421.76$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.4	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2525…b919backed Yes	22c	413.09$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.84	139	43.2%60 W · 79 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed No	76c	400$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	+24%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d7…7f5cbacked Yes	24c	400$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+498.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Yes	30c	369.8$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.21	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x729a…c966backed Yes	31c	350$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Yes	45c	340.53$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.07	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe7e…c200backed Yes	9c	333$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.97	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+178.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	68c	316.54$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.19	996	29.5%294 W · 702 L	-73.3wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f63…6643backed Yes	7c	300.39$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.47	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-3.9wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed Yes	14c	300$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	326	26.4%86 W · 240 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	20c	292.7$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.28	441	11.3%50 W · 391 L	-44.5wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5d85…4df9backed No	79c	270.23$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.08	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+5.5wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+46.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	11c	267.7$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.95	963	19.8%191 W · 772 L	-32.4wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed No	75c	263.99$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.26	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8815…e147backed Yes	26c	263.81$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.79	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e9…c21ebacked Yes	10c	260$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.15	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	16c	250$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	103	24.3%25 W · 78 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fd…8bc3backed Yes	19c	247.83$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.1	72	50%36 W · 36 L	+6.5wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ef0…4cdcbacked Yes	46c	227.71$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x36f2…3f16backed Yes	9c	225.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Yes	30c	203.99$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.2	378	44.4%168 W · 210 L	+33.3wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+64.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe781…5e52backed No	69c	201.01$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.8	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No	64c	180.98$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.54	74	73%54 W · 20 L	+12.8wins	+0.17per pick	56cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3e25…7a93backed No	79c	179.71$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.45	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f47…1bd4backed No	78c	178$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.41	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+46.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes	16c	168.1$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.9	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes	39c	167.1$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	43	23.3%10 W · 33 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60f7…050bbacked No	68c	166.28$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.46	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe758…c90ebacked Yes	31c	162.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No	76c	158.85$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.49	252	41.7%105 W · 147 L	-17.2wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea41…1c98backed Yes	32c	158.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No	66c	152.6$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.6	136	73.5%100 W · 36 L	+28.4wins	+0.21per pick	53cpaid	+47.4%equal weight	70+0.18 edge/pick
0x064c…2de1backed No	64c	150.88$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.63	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1639…b984backed No	66c	150.79$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.79	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9394…37dabacked Yes	14c	150$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.63	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43f8…2903backed No	74c	150$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.8	84	47.6%40 W · 44 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb740…442ebacked No	67c	149.1$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.1	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c87…9bd4backed No	72c	136.41$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.19	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes	24c	135.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.36	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64f7…5bd7backed No	72c	132.99$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.77	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	74cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490f…17e5backed No	65c	130$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.93	183	22.4%41 W · 142 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec8…620cbacked Yes	19c	128.45$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed No	79c	126.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.31	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	66cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce3f…67c9backed Yes	46c	125$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.25	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+6.0wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes	24c	124.41$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	98	31.6%31 W · 67 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a07…05c1backed Yes	20c	116.12$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.6	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5676…b103backed No	71c	113$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.77	25	64%16 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ec…b5fcbacked No	61c	103.03$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.51	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c9…bddfbacked Yes	11c	102$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.22	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cde…67d0backed Yes	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d2f…0f76backed Yes	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x820b…f7f4backed No	71c	100$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.26	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+3.1wins	+0.14per pick	54cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a7c…920ebacked Yes	25c	98.28$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0e…746abacked Yes	17c	97.07$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.54	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cd3…0e8dbacked Yes	21c	95.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes	18c	94.47$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.29	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?this page
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?No won
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Australia in July?No won
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in July?No won
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?No won
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?Yes won
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with France in July?No won
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Germany in July?No won
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?No won
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in July?No won
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Japan in July?Yes won
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?Yes won
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?Yes won
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Vietnam in July?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event