TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x64f7…5bd7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
138
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: UFC, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT6540%26 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$63.2
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.58
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$45.62
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 18.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.41
Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.84
Julius Randle: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$29.99
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+203%+$33.5
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$66
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+156.4%+$36.6
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$37.8
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.01
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$55.98
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.35
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+50.4%+$20.05
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+63.1%+$131.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20.3
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+177.8%+$25.6
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+69.5%+$12.3
All 14 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+64.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Perry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$37.99
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Aljamain Sterling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$52.25
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$24
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Hooker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$102.5
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37%+$27
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.5
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$42.39
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.5
Spread: Germany (-5.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.99
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.99
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$184
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+248.3%+$249.5
UEFA Nations League: Germany vs. Portugal (To Advance)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+100%+$17.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+39.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-49.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$115.55
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$153.22
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$90
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$51.93
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NewJeans perform again by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$18.86
World Series of Poker – American winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$36.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+28.2%+$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Skybacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.