NBA · resolved market
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6de38c4362679dd95f5c850e09a5471f66285078e921ebadfa4d8d0ef616b0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Yes | 63c | 773.19$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.22 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Yes | 65c | 419.57$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.85 | 147 | 31.3%46 W · 101 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Yes | 64c | 381.03$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 36c | 313.56$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.88 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 40c | 309.24$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.74 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e3…eeecbacked Yes | 59c | 265.46$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Yes | 62c | 243$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.71 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked No | 37c | 195.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.27 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf1…4ae9backed Yes | 64c | 137.45$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked No | 39c | 101.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 35c | 99.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 33c | 76.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdffd…924fbacked Yes | 64c | 75.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 35c | 66.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 40c | 65.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 36c | 55.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Yes | 60c | 49.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Yes | 70c | 49.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…dfbebacked Yes | 64c | 45.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 73c | 40.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1434…d63bbacked Yes | 68c | 40.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…5bd7backed No | 44c | 38.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed No | 40c | 37.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 40c | 36.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea1…6072backed Yes | 64c | 30.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 245 | 66.9%164 W · 81 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-0.5)Hawks won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. HawksHawks won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 215.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 217.5Under won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 4.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.