TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,711
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,347

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,711 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No54c636.76$346 inLost-$345.7865762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1764…cf64backed No59c500$295 inLost-$2952138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Yes41c482.3$198 inWon+$284.565347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cc2…eaefbacked Yes45c385.52$173 inWon+$212.5511056.4%62 W · 48 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No48c240$114 inLost-$114.45,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes52c233.14$122 inWon+$111.1395049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Yes43c146.98$63 inWon+$83.789947.5%47 W · 52 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Yes45c122.28$55 inWon+$67.3620558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed No59c109.27$64 inLost-$64.499654.2%52 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes45c101.83$46 inWon+$56.033,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Yes48c99.99$48 inWon+$5241050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2299…d003backed No57c79.73$45 inLost-$45.45757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No38c62.91$24 inLost-$2423741.4%98 W · 139 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed No51c39.18$20 inLost-$19.9840546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5b…90afbacked No52c25.74$13 inLost-$13.385561.8%34 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No48c24.99$12 inLost-$1262047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2fe…09c9backed Yes51c22.32$11 inWon+$10.946051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No53c20$11 inLost-$10.696956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x802e…76fdbacked Yes71c19.65$14 inWon+$5.795887.9%51 W · 7 L+13.6wins+0.24per pick64cpaid+35.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.