TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$639,007
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$660,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $639,007 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 378 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x777d…5143backed Under53c107,076$56,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,750.2819754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over47c100,000$47,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,00024650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over45c75,176$33,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,346.8354539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under54c58,235$31,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,447.0143148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under12c42,240$4,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,927.352,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Under52c35,497$18,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,458.5387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under52c17,614$9,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,231.663746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over50c15,145$7,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,602.833,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Over46c14,903$6,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,047.74134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4fa8…e9abbacked Over51c13,739$7,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,734.15728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under58c11,506$6,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,693.621,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c11,087$5,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,765.59,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb36e…dab1backed Over47c9,370$4,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,919.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe2c…7bdabacked Over48c9,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6802100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Under55c8,853$4,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,869.3317055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x073a…91e7backed Under49c7,500$3,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6753641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under49c6,951$3,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,406.7469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over57c6,446$3,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,783.7985742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38d7…af0dbacked Over48c6,418$3,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,337.58683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+68.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over49c6,187$3,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,154.882,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60045646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9843348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over46c4,962$2,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,679.4721549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8545…23bebacked Under49c4,640$2,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,273.75616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c4,635$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,456.372,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under42c4,537$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.161,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under2c4,375$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over48c4,148$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.1765045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over46c4,135$1,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.181,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under2c4,100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06cd…2a26backed Over47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe15e…82bbbacked Over48c3,702$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb92a…f51cbacked Over48c3,685$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.371172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Under2c3,250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%0 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Under2c3,250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60420%0 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Under2c3,250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60437%3 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Under2c3,205$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.05190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under2c3,155$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.05802.5%2 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Under1c3,100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377326%19 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0803345.5%15 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+3.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under55c2,919$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.4556453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under53c2,906$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.581,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Under2c2,900$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505416.7%9 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over49c2,883$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.631,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under49c2,850$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.1626337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f96…1e41backed Over48c2,605$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.38475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+58.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5053…7a7ebacked Over48c2,586$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under52c2,368$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.532351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Under55c2,310$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.745635.7%20 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Under55c2,300$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.94949%24 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over42c2,286$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.953,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over46c2,260$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.4671547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecb8…8ba7backed Over48c2,197$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under46c2,176$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.220744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd26a…6a48backed Under59c1,898$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under53c1,876$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.7230446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under2c1,842$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.031,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Over46c1,767$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.1816743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over54c1,677$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.4593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Over46c1,667$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.398839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under54c1,644$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.042,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed Under49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7352653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Under49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7352254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed Under49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7352254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed Under55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.996352.4%33 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over48c1,397$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.2652150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Under7c1,316$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.947237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Over37c1,314$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.835743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19551.8%1 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over47c1,294$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.8562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Over49c1,274$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.344951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Over36c1,206$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.1814640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c1,191$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.222,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over35c1,170$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.781,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c1,167$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.876,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Over48c1,118$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.365345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Under52c1,083$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.8120946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Under59c1,082$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.955350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Under54c1,076$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.227143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over49c1,053$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6366352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over46c1,052$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.949945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Over47c1,049$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.4523251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed Under54c1,044$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.996238.7%24 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over48c1,031$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.1116946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Over47c1,026$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.933948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.1852951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d4…a050backed Under49c1,001$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.49425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49047651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd1f…2bd0backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5204738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x494e…fb0bbacked Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under54c937.18$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.0819745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a3…b19abacked Under57c919.45$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.241442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Under7c917$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7353945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under7c917$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7326639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under56c878.81$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.1814634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under11c808.5$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8880440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over56c782.36$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.51,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c751.33$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.751,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.