NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89c1f703a2b01f7e64ce1bef1af9586dca41a8c9635e610ef6ccef838c41039e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Knicks, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Hawks | 48c | 9,157$4,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,761.64 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Knicks | 52c | 7,472$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,884.77 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Hawks | 49c | 2,852$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.03 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Knicks | 52c | 2,054$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.03 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Knicks | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Hawks | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Knicks | 51c | 1,480$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.96 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Hawks | 49c | 1,385$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.28 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Knicks | 52c | 1,106$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.22 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Hawks | 48c | 982.02$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.65 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…7e75backed Knicks | 52c | 934.18$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Knicks | 52c | 917.04$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.86 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Hawks | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Hawks | 59c | 478.64$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.27 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Knicks | 12c | 469.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Hawks | 58c | 449.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc621…7c5cbacked Knicks | 52c | 377.27$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Knicks | 52c | 328.98$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.07 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Knicks | 60c | 325.28$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…b476backed Knicks | 52c | 234.37$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1991backed Knicks | 52c | 204.7$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.44 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Hawks | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60da…a14ebacked Knicks | 54c | 178.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.26 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Knicks | 54c | 178.61$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks | 9c | 173.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Knicks | 43c | 173.32$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Knicks | 52c | 135.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Hawks | 49c | 104.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 279 | 42.7%119 W · 160 L | -14.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…590ebacked Knicks | 18c | 103.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba28…fa8fbacked Knicks | 10c | 98.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Hawks | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hawks | 45c | 63.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5345…666abacked Knicks | 54c | 59.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Knicks | 47c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Knicks | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hawks | 79c | 41.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Hawks | 49c | 41.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Hawks | 49c | 34.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe001…62d5backed Knicks | 52c | 33.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Hawks | 49c | 29.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Hawks | 57c | 25.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Hawks | 48c | 20.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-0.5)Hawks won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. HawksHawks won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 215.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 217.5Under won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 4.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.