TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,695
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,053

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,695 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xae0f…f647backed Under74c5,600$4,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.998451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over28c4,656$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.111,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under57c3,683$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.8638434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Over28c3,193$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.9914640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Over1c3,100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377326%19 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under59c2,978$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.113,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Over1c2,600$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325416.7%9 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Under58c2,437$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.5417553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over43c2,323$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.444,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Over1c2,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%0 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Over1c2,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30420%0 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Over1c2,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Over1c2,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Over1c2,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30437%3 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over8c2,051$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.0918835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x51cc…a4e2backed Over42c2,010$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.2825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Over2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over51c1,717$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.7793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15802.5%2 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under57c1,409$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.2869049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under48c1,354$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.251,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under59c1,333$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.051,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over50c1,242$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.632,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3b…0230backed Under60c1,114$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.724067.5%27 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Under78c1,096$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.832195.2%20 W · 1 L+6.8wins+0.32per pick63cpaid+94.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under58c997.48$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.632,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2116…eb8fbacked Over5c931.8$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.99540%2 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick4cpaid+673.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under43c884.56$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.29,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Under57c878.53$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.7426444.7%118 W · 146 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over13c851.11$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed Over1c850$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12160%0 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Over43c835.53$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.284434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over43c676.06$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.7118643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Over7c667$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0826639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Over13c666$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4413837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Over11c654.37$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.477237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over45c628.92$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.471,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over43c618.5$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.9510256.9%58 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3063545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over15c558$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0631238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over44c541.19$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.4616642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under48c530.07$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.8261638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Over19c520.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0240440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80aa…e8eabacked Over5c510.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28540%2 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick5cpaid+522.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Under76c503.77$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.92281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over43c491.3$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.2611437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over16c489$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0580440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under54c466.88$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.766,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over46c461.45$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.3265045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Over8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3230224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed Under54c360.45$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.986344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under45c358.5$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.6868838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Under58c336.14$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1828949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c304.16$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.351,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3048…057fbacked Under49c296.85$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8511850.8%60 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over9c293$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1245544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Over71c276.9$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5211873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Over12c253$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9223649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under54c243.1$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.839652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over46c230.86$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.781,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over43c228.9$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.581,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over44c227.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2889048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over40c222.48$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.941,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over46c222.25$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5810552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over45c203.9$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.841,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6265…0d9fbacked Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Over13c200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257339.7%29 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Over28c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Over13c200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Under58c194.96$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8825657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf09d…d23fbacked Under27c189.13$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.3510651.9%55 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Under54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8327745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23f5…b52fbacked Over43c179.68$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under51c170.96$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5637647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Over43c168.45$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.448350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Under58c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5918534.1%63 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over54c160.73$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.552861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked Over16c160$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.66648.5%32 W · 34 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3e89…2fc6backed Under61c159.54$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.869548.4%46 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd57d…590ebacked Under66c136.32$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9213560%81 W · 54 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Under77c123.69$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8611261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over43c121.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6317043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Over24c120$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.416640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Over24c120$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.421242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over45c119.03$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.991,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c99…d91abacked Under71c111.01$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.592437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f6c…df05backed Under56c107.1$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.127256.9%41 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Over43c105$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1513047.7%62 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Under58c103.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.668540%34 W · 51 L-16.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x8911…5ffabacked Over51c101.82$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.922733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Over39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3953945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x578f…eafabacked Under60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Over28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.514449.3%71 W · 73 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Over16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1617748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Under57c99.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4312558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b8d…6724backed Under56c99.48$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8523140.3%93 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under45c98.31$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.059854.1%53 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae31…7fa1backed Under65c98.09$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.826543.1%28 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.