TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Knicks, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,092,253
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,503,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,092,253 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,423 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Hawks49c754,020$369,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384,550.295154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Hawks75c326,471$244,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,366.213642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Hawks49c322,207$157,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164,325.638148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Knicks32c284,087$91,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,768.091,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Knicks44c251,118$110,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110,307.8485742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe14…11eebacked Knicks51c161,556$82,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,393.75955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Knicks26c116,595$30,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,030.8569848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hawks60c114,860$68,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,194.3666248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Knicks51c113,862$58,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,069.836944.9%31 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Hawks49c107,022$52,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,581.119754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hawks50c106,384$53,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,191.8936549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Knicks51c92,809$47,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,332.4748352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Knicks51c91,157$46,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,490.2720454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Knicks52c87,362$45,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,663.1542348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Knicks51c72,662$37,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,049.8624650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks51c61,561$31,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,342.524,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b4a…8060backed Knicks51c60,000$30,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,600.083839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Knicks52c58,272$30,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,301.4413544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Hawks62c55,322$34,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,208.115354.7%29 W · 24 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Knicks50c55,000$27,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,50031644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Knicks52c48,422$25,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,179.3325248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Knicks51c46,373$23,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,535.711,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Knicks50c45,000$22,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,649.8534456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Knicks48c41,657$19,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,990.811737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Hawks49c40,000$19,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,40014842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks49c40,000$19,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,4004,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbba9…f183backed Knicks41c38,153$15,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,491.532227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+40.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f28…266ebacked Hawks49c38,000$18,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,379.753145.2%14 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Knicks51c36,972$18,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,855.747650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks30c36,482$10,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,790.383,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Hawks65c33,971$21,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,001.111,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Knicks37c32,875$12,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,247.162,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Knicks35c32,774$11,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,490.4989850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Knicks50c32,176$16,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,087.9529245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Knicks51c31,523$16,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,076.511,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Knicks22c30,724$6,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,768.471417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x333d…134ebacked Knicks33c29,085$9,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,598742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23ba…01ecbacked Knicks51c28,547$14,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,5591020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xade6…63cbbacked Knicks49c28,255$13,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,845.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hawks71c27,590$19,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,002.612,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Knicks31c25,691$7,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,932.341,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8516…93a0backed Knicks39c24,566$9,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,646.438035%28 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Knicks51c23,324$11,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,894.9910451%53 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe509…4245backed Knicks43c22,110$9,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,539.6310653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Knicks51c21,840$11,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,138.3628649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks27c21,204$5,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,665.441,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Knicks50c21,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,50018553%98 W · 87 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Knicks50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Hawks65c19,995$13,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,903.471,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aab…c4ddbacked Knicks43c19,565$8,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,386.17839.7%31 W · 47 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Knicks51c18,807$9,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,600.5658953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Knicks36c18,466$6,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,581.6716346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Knicks45c18,383$8,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,266.1420352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd31…5a16backed Knicks35c18,287$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,400.41425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Knicks51c18,247$9,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,305.876259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Knicks51c18,225$9,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,294.735848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa362…a3e3backed Knicks26c18,202$4,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,732.521338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed Hawks48c18,000$8,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,359.988750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x648d…1366backed Knicks51c17,778$9,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,066.943336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47f8…6699backed Hawks50c17,767$8,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,883.663354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hawks50c17,765$8,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,927.711,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Knicks26c17,268$4,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,536.861,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Hawks69c17,054$11,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,370.636459.4%38 W · 26 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Knicks35c16,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.9919653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Hawks50c15,857$7,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,934.591,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Hawks60c15,376$9,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,178.6793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbf8…4406backed Knicks32c15,288$4,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,883.332236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3719…2df0backed Hawks49c15,141$7,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,721.912941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x189c…fea3backed Hawks49c14,553$7,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,422.032343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6101…23bcbacked Knicks31c14,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.955453.7%29 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Hawks67c13,744$9,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,483.069851%50 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Knicks34c13,437$4,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,585.068728.7%25 W · 62 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Knicks51c13,322$6,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,794.222458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Knicks51c12,555$6,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,403.0513063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Knicks34c12,436$4,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,203.2695848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Knicks52c12,228$6,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,332.6563746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Hawks72c12,169$8,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,405.576850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Knicks50c11,848$5,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,924.64344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ca…faa7backed Knicks52c11,132$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,799.53425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Knicks51c10,203$5,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,203.3224841.1%102 W · 146 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Hawks46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40048845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Knicks51c9,706$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,950.0612251.6%63 W · 59 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa58f…ee1abacked Knicks51c9,706$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,950.061942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7fd…89debacked Knicks51c9,706$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,950.062941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Hawks50c9,697$4,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,848.517055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Knicks51c9,516$4,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,853922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-57.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Knicks52c9,343$4,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,878.523333.3%11 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Hawks69c9,318$6,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,848.1911864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Knicks50c9,043$4,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,500.922,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Hawks52c8,868$4,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,256.5816547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1bf…492ebacked Hawks78c8,856$6,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Knicks51c8,564$4,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,367.710352.4%54 W · 49 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hawks48c8,435$4,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,344.4581529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hawks61c8,252$5,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,185.011,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hawks50c7,858$3,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,929.151,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdab7…24ecbacked Hawks67c7,818$5,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,584.316065%104 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a59…9a2fbacked Knicks52c7,748$4,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,028.916863.1%106 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Knicks48c7,700$3,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,659.773151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Knicks47c7,695$3,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,653.4618941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Knicks33c7,508$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,471.532458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.