TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$168,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$208,319

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,683 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under52c43,505$22,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,622.5443148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d2…ac37backed Over48c39,482$18,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,530.892454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Over47c20,044$9,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,560.196152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Under50c11,296$5,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,647.8387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0008839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c8,953$4,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,731.28,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under53c7,580$4,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,017.4220744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over47c6,881$3,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,646.769848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under52c4,998$2,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.021,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c4,808$2,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,379.481,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over53c3,957$2,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.392,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under52c3,700$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92411864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdbf3…4918backed Under53c2,766$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.45933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe53c…ee05backed Over49c2,631$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.34032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over53c2,364$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.9593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Over54c1,814$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84217247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c1,595$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.064,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over50c1,518$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.881,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over48c1,211$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.728844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over48c1,211$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.7221247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under51c1,100$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56144740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4cd…a898backed Over48c997.06$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.472360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2d4…40b9backed Over49c989.18$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.482556%14 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over48c968.8$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.7818844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over47c799.97$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.9884342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under53c777.44$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.047946.8%37 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under47c749.98$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.491,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under51c731.85$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.2432351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over47c722.46$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.6962051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under39c596.64$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.4468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Under53c568.41$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.2612458.9%73 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c540.98$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.311,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over60c499.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9931354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over46c446.98$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.3761638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over46c424.76$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.582,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c413.18$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.984,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over44c398.49$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.4314634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa686…5b61backed Over49c395.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.792544%11 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under51c380.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1237647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under53c380.58$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.7161151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under46c376.27$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.0938947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c04…7011backed Under65c374.16$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.811947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under53c347.9$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.3945251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c331.44$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.611,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c293$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.781,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb20…bea0backed Over42c291.38$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.321931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under65c282.27$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.361,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd52f…88fabacked Over53c275.04$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.275850%29 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under49c257.33$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.971,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over49c251.59$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7317043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Under50c249.3$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4714640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Under57c243.91$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.0312257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under47c230.84$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.583,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under14c222.87$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.252052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under49c200.25$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.121,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under49c199.17$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.929653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.965649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under25c197.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7278639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9738432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Under52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1218552.4%97 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over49c185.22$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6187049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over57c184.8$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.959255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over50c179.62$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7166352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f79…0307backed Over49c170.14$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.773737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51a3…9c26backed Over63c155.9$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.142470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+37.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over48c151.38$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7260346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over53c148$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under52c145.21$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9653348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Over52c142.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6418543.2%80 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under45c139.45$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4760049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under38c122.85$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.252230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x088a…9ee7backed Over51c120.12$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.375056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under53c117.57$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3144347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5081…e5acbacked Over42c116.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4420055.5%111 W · 89 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8772…7782backed Over43c112.3$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.01560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over56c107.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.521,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under52c100.3$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.161,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4759650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3048…057fbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5011850.8%60 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under74c99.16$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.465762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4534849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over49c96.13$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.032,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5353453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5966046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Under54c90.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.629542.1%40 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over44c87.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.791,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c82.28$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8589850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba9…d704backed Over48c80.73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.98742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over58c70.88$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7325958.3%151 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under42c67.1$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4280440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over66c65.06$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0514860.1%89 W · 59 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Over50c64.29$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1537665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under51c57.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1236852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067e…625bbacked Over48c50.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.242937.9%11 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick30cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Over48c50.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2416842.3%71 W · 97 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under52c50.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2210148.5%49 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91d9…13f4backed Under49c49.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.242347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Over48c48.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1913047.7%62 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Over48c48.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1914448.6%70 W · 74 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.