TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$333,263
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$416,894

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $333,263 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under49c102,473$50,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,536.431,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54d2…ac37backed Over51c72,611$37,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,579.192454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over50c22,497$11,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,248.4529650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over49c21,811$10,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,077.269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under50c18,708$9,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,335.321,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over50c16,930$8,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,465.1937355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under54c10,136$5,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,429.573545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c9,682$4,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,933.481,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c6,506$3,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,253.144,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over51c6,226$3,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.422,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00032846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under50c4,850$2,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4253342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over47c4,270$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.8847856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under50c3,528$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.8811864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over50c3,153$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.5893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Under54c3,050$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.2410860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+109.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Over50c2,971$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.5982442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over48c2,964$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.921,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Over51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2254744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b55…076fbacked Over47c2,382$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.965225%13 W · 39 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-34.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over52c2,102$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.2817047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed Over50c1,940$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9702245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…3371backed Under49c1,752$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.67955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over50c1,588$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.266352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf721…ecf5backed Under49c1,583$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.521637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c1,459$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.471,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over47c1,400$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.9935849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under46c1,377$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.081,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d35…96afbacked Over50c1,358$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6793138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under49c1,347$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.1414441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under54c1,318$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.81,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26be…7239backed Over46c1,300$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7022445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over50c1,164$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58295452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Over46c1,102$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59516053.1%85 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over48c1,100$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56952951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under49c1,100$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.1945146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over39c1,098$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.851060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Under51c1,050$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.7738453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Under54c1,045$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.8214640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Over47c999.98$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9911757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over48c877.57$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.92,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under49c861.64$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.21,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under50c859.21$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6048…2711backed Over51c802.57$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.263641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x208a…441ebacked Over39c742.38$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.375347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under49c723.5$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.511,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under61c667.93$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.4356646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over52c640$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.624955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Under51c632.35$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.1121142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under50c625.88$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.334850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29129848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c548.71$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.7765045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under50c520.11$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.061,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under46c519.61$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.413,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under49c517.69$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.8462051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Over50c485$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.58451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Under56c482.3$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.0912257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cc…78adbacked Over50c480.15$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.081338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under48c471.22$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.1844740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under50c460.71$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.363432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Under54c450.19$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.19558.9%56 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over51c440.11$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.721,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59b1…8396backed Under51c429.2$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.891553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Over46c420.7$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.1812851.6%66 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under50c418.15$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0732351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over51c395.76$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.923243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over51c389.33$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.773,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9857…a505backed Under50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1945633.9%19 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Under30c362.18$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10911639.7%46 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Under50c346.05$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.0219547.2%92 W · 103 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed Over50c345.32$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.661850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…c6b3backed Over61c320$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.38580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+59.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Under53c319.45$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.3122349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under52c312.89$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7389850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under50c310.96$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.572,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over50c304.58$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2945251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over53c302.04$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.0659255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under60c301.24$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.751,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Under43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1294748.9%23 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick33cpaid+82%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Over56c299.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13226339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under49c256.2$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.251,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under40c249.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7460049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa485…92a5backed Over51c247.45$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.253148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under51c245.8$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7759650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over44c234.18$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.149,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over49c211.33$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4489048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over55c210.02$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.881,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff9c…2c98backed Under49c202.53$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.246038.3%23 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over76c201.96$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1911261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc766…1533backed Over51c201.49$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.63938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under17c201.06$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7952230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1027853.8%42 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under49c195.92$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9766046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6921…2345backed Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9717041.8%71 W · 99 L-12.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under25c191.41$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5114634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb74f…d843backed Over51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.256250%31 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d8…fc2abacked Under51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0650%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.657643.4%33 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.