TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdcc4…a439

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
242
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT19547.2%92 W · 103 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 195 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$294
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$435
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+451.8%+$530.57
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$288.89
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.5
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$360
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$545.9
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$143
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$397.5
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$367.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$232.5
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,071Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,029
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.99
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.4
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$72
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$640.86
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$54.38
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$364
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$25.08
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Showing 25 of 195 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT2853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.8
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$700
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 175.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.93
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$860
Spread: Toronto Tempo (-1.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.1
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 173.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.72
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFirebacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.22
Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$115.5
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Skybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$175
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Skybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$550
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$196
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Stormbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Dallas Wings vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$180
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.72
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Stormbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$110.73
Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.5
Spread: PortlandFire (-3.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 171.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$230
Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$240
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$340
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$560
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$512.31
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$27
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.57
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$228.94
Saints vs. Titansbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$240
Cardinals vs. Bengals: O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+88.9%+$251.8
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$580
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100.5%+$223
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$104.55
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Ravens vs. Bengalsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$380
Bears vs. Packers: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$470
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+171.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$109.2
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+234.2%+$114.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.