WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 173.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf858f7587e0ad4412ea3735e4cb392a4e8e482e86d744c1559c731766ec83bf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e05…7720backed Under | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 15,601$7,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,006.23 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 49c | 11,487$5,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,837.2 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 52c | 9,660$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.97 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7286…d5d0backed Under | 51c | 4,643$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.7 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.82 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 2,469$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.44 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 51c | 1,680$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.01 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 48c | 1,314$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.28 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 52c | 962.6$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Over | 49c | 882.37$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.01 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Under | 51c | 772$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.72 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 640.99$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.9 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 49c | 598.89$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.22 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Over | 49c | 587$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.37 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Over | 49c | 555$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.05 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Over | 48c | 503.75$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.95 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 51c | 341$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.19 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 289.54$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.56 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 49c | 254.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.73 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 196.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 14c | 190.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 55c | 166.07$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 51c | 150.54$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 49c | 132$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…2f2abacked Over | 49c | 128.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 121$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 49c | 119$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Under | 51c | 91.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 76c | 65.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 46c | 51.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 49c | 47.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 48c | 42.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 49c | 40.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Over | 50c | 39.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Over | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 49c | 36.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 48c | 27.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…880ebacked Over | 48c | 27.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 48c | 26.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 50c | 24.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Under | 50c | 22.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 48c | 22.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 22.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 173.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana FeverAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 174.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.