WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1790817eaf51311ad3845f9efb2d8d8bc61cd8600b7a25e69acbed34c8f38142
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Dreamof Indiana Fever, Atlanta Dream
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e05…7720backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 29,318$15,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,972.48 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe8…06c9backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 10,776$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 8,135$3,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,897.92 | 367 | 54%198 W · 169 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 6,897$3,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,229.89 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 6,805$3,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,233.64 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 6,283$2,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,953.05 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 5,378$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.55 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 4,859$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.36 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 4,315$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.47 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 2,766$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 2,533$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.26 | 327 | 49.5%162 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 2,496$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.38 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 1,819$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.09 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 1,750$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.5 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 1,328$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.61 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Fever | 35c | 952.24$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.19 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 926.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.44 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 919$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.85 | 410 | 51.2%210 W · 200 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Atlanta Dream | 58c | 869.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.25 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 745$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.6 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 733.75$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.2 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 472.17$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 431.91$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Indiana Fever | 46c | 327.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.02 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 270$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 213.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 203.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Atlanta Dream | 56c | 195$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.81 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 180$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Indiana Fever | 22c | 148.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 145.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Indiana Fever | 43c | 145$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 133.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…599abacked Indiana Fever | 56c | 123$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Indiana Fever | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Indiana Fever | 40c | 91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Indiana Fever | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 414 | 46.6%193 W · 221 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Atlanta Dream | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 58.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Indiana Fever | 54c | 58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 321 | 48.6%156 W · 165 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Atlanta Dream | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Indiana Fever | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Indiana Fever | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Indiana Fever | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 352 | 54.3%191 W · 161 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…ffd3backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 48.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 43.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 43.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a2…0c1abacked Atlanta Dream | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 36.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Atlanta Dream | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 370 | 54.1%200 W · 170 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Indiana Fever | 46c | 31.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 28.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 25.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Indiana Fever | 46c | 25.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 23.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73cc…c092backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 21.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Atlanta Dream | 54c | 20.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…815ebacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana FeverAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 173.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 174.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.