TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb05e…599a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-1.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-13.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+91%+$78.6
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-7.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$93.83
Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 166.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$82.34
Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.48
Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 173.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Spread: PortlandFire (-2.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFirebacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$82.89
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Homburg Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Neumayer vs. Lajovic: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Zhizhen Zhang vs Henry Searlebacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Jay Clarke vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Jay Clarke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Pol Martin Tiffonbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Stefano Travaglia vs Luka Mikrutbacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Elias Ymerbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Guy Den Ouden vs Yi Zhoubacked Yi Zhou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Oliver Tarvet vs Alex Boltbacked Oliver Tarvet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Anton Matusevich vs Rei Sakamotobacked Anton Matusevich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Gaston vs. Midon: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Roman Safiullin vs James McCabebacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Faria vs. Grenier: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$47.31
Cerundolo vs. Paul: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Altmaier vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Minaur vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-44.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,786Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,858.9
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,011Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$2,758.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$8,232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,231.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.