MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed275b2bba23267e5410760b9cbf4e3a42565af0f5d64d6eb7862482efb21574
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof San Francisco Giants, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 18,931$10,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,790.46 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 17,675$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,898 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,549.93 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 14,935$7,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,420.55 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 13,280$7,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,569.7 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 29c | 10,698$3,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.9 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 7,264$4,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,108.5 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 62c | 7,118$4,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.57 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 26c | 7,043$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.63 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 6,950$3,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,961.32 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 6,685$2,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810.17 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 6,104$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.49 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 5,814$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,313.93 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 5,585$3,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,071.75 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.99 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 4,834$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.39 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 3,855$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.59 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 62c | 3,611$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.64 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 3,610$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.81 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 3,465$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.51 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…50febacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 2,943$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 2,732$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.63 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 2,469$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 2,300$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.98 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 1,665$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.62 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed San Francisco Giants | 30c | 1,387$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.69 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 1,145$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.14 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 938$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.66 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed San Francisco Giants | 25c | 766.19$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.5 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 765.86$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.88 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 637.58$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.04 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 627.77$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.83 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Francisco Giants | 32c | 616.53$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.13 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked San Francisco Giants | 24c | 592.83$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.69 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked San Francisco Giants | 30c | 584.08$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.22 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 553$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.4 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants | 26c | 550.64$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.71 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 542.41$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.9 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 524.22$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.83 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed San Francisco Giants | 20c | 494.04$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 476.14$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.29 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 442.61$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.29 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 409$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.04 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 388.99$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 382.57$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.21 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 380.43$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.04 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…ebdcbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 364$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.84 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed San Francisco Giants | 30c | 334.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 330$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.26 | 378 | 68.8%260 W · 118 L | +25.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants | 14c | 317.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…9b53backed Miami Marlins | 72c | 317.03$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants | 36c | 309.72$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.63 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 295.49$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.78 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 288$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.16 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Miami Marlins | 78c | 275.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 273.25$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.02 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed San Francisco Giants | 32c | 270.94$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 267.23$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.65 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked San Francisco Giants | 32c | 260.6$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 257.92$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.01 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed San Francisco Giants | 28c | 250.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…9b3dbacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 240.58$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.53 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 239.56$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…599abacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed San Francisco Giants | 29c | 222.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.01 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…daecbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 221.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.55 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 216.78$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.32 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 204.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…b91dbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 202.97$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.62 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51fdbacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 189.47$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 188.13$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 187$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 182.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.73 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 180$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 180$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 179.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.64 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 174$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked San Francisco Giants | 37c | 171.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 170$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 767 | 52.3%401 W · 366 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.