MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea509735515a86791d29f8e9d5eaa801f7dbe2601aa8643a194d2b89809a7608
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 54c | 16,271$8,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,789.56 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 61c | 10,236$6,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,982.29 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 39c | 7,801$3,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,042.27 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 4,606$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.2 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 4,328$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.25 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 40c | 1,864$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.02 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 1,680$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 54c | 1,619$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.8 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 46c | 1,509$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.9 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 1,275$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.66 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 57c | 1,044$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 1,040$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.12 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 53c | 950.94$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 48c | 813$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.24 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 63c | 554.74$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.66 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 37c | 507.22$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.73 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 408.35$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Under | 52c | 344.5$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.36 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 39c | 330$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.53 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Over | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 44c | 240$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.1 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 47c | 222$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.66 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 210.55$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 44c | 179$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 58c | 173.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 65c | 171.49$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 45c | 168.02$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 45c | 161.01$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 26c | 159.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 155.15$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 154$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f04…4e5fbacked Under | 52c | 119.04$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 47c | 118$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 45c | 102.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 45c | 99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked Under | 65c | 83.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 40c | 82.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 39c | 81.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…6cf7backed Under | 62c | 81.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 252 | 60.7%153 W · 99 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 54c | 80.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 56c | 74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Under | 61c | 70.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 59c | 68.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 64c | 67.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Under | 61c | 66.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 54.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 52c | 52.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Under | 61c | 48.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 242 | 43%104 W · 138 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 44c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 45c | 47.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…8b33backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 49c | 42.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 42c | 41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 45c | 33.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Under | 60c | 31.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 43c | 26.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…2de1backed Under | 48c | 25.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…c62dbacked Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 45c | 24.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…cebabacked Under | 45c | 22.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 320 | 54.1%173 W · 147 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 57c | 20.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Under | 62c | 20.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 60c | 19.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.