MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6f03b8ce10a367f03e0afe928949fade94187aea5d3ed3fe4d60b6a5945f222
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Chicago Cubs, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $345,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $351,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 53,994$24,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,541.84 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 51,409$20,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,993.56 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 40,816$21,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,601.67 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 38,462$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 27,412$14,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,987.98 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 24,749$12,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,869.39 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 20,888$9,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,052.34 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 15,871$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,094.43 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 15,858$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,757.26 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 10,250$6,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,671.5 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 10,000$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 6,911$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,077.46 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 5,500$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.96 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 5,102$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.98 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 4,827$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.11 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…1a91backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 4,332$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.55 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 4,082$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.18 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…599abacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 3,645$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.9 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 3,397$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.63 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Chicago Cubs | 20c | 3,368$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 3,244$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 3,127$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.51 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 3,061$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.39 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 3,053$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.44 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 2,800$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 2,513$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.88 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 2,410$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.28 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 2,280$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.4 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Chicago Cubs | 30c | 2,037$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.79 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,952$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.71 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Chicago Cubs | 20c | 1,950$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.96 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Chicago Cubs | 36c | 1,878$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.24 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,812$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.77 | 120 | 24.2%29 W · 91 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,755$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.59 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,651$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.86 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Chicago Cubs | 1c | 1,603$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 1,513$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.64 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Chicago Cubs | 25c | 1,500$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.57 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Chicago Cubs | 41c | 1,498$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.17 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,456$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.56 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,371$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.79 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 1,233$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.23 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 1,224$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.64 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,168$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.57 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,098$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.98 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Chicago Cubs | 8c | 1,033$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 934.17$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.77 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 868$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.38 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 862.81$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.78 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…ebf0backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 842.12$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.9 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 708.4$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.62 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 672$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.95 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…27d8backed Chicago Cubs | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c89…57b7backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 608.74$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.32 | 130 | 76.2%99 W · 31 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 520.66$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.75 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 514.07$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.18 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 495$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.88 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 486.1$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.65 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 474.12$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.58 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 460.8$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.79 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Chicago Cubs | 29c | 446.36$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 439.08$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.8 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9222…e73fbacked Chicago Cubs | 35c | 423.09$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…3d9bbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 405$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.45 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 388.49$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.25 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 387$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.34 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef6…01a9backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 385.66$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.83 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 380.76$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 357.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 342.37$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 326.4$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.46 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…1c4fbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 316.86$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 307$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.57 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago Cubs | 32c | 304.12$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 292$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.84 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Chicago Cubs | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago Cubs | 18c | 269.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 260$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 246.5$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 244.23$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…46a2backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 238.04$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.02 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Cincinnati Reds | 77c | 236.89$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 229.46$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.44 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 216.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 3.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.