TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Pol Martin Tiffon

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pol Martin Tiffonof Gilles Arnaud Bailly, Pol Martin Tiffon
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,899
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,341

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,899 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32b4…8b21backed Pol Martin Tiffon47c7,182$3,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,806.293,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly53c6,400$3,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,388.8725852.7%136 W · 122 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly53c3,865$2,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,046.854,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Pol Martin Tiffon48c2,295$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.452152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly33c2,231$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.699,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly52c1,875$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.433,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b60…82e5backed Pol Martin Tiffon48c1,601$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.59757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab6…bf68backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly52c1,570$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.43837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly61c1,317$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.4229443.5%128 W · 166 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Pol Martin Tiffon43c1,178$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.466,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pol Martin Tiffon48c1,095$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.8911,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5709,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Pol Martin Tiffon47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.652,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly24c993.14$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.541,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pol Martin Tiffon53c778.86$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.298,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly56c738.67$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.915,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Pol Martin Tiffon48c717.27$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.981,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Pol Martin Tiffon48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3127,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly59c478.64$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.294,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly52c446.15$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23246255.8%258 W · 204 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pol Martin Tiffon74c421.37$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.188,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly4c416.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.13,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pol Martin Tiffon48c374.75$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.872,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe06a…ca30backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly3c336.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.815032%16 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Pol Martin Tiffon48c317.62$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.167444.6%33 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly52c278.21$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.935,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly8c257.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.756121.3%13 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Pol Martin Tiffon47c255.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.325,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Pol Martin Tiffon47c241.44$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.961,54249.2%759 W · 783 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Pol Martin Tiffon48c233.33$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3321856.4%123 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Pol Martin Tiffon69c231.06$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6946855.1%258 W · 210 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Pol Martin Tiffon48c220$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.41,04750%524 W · 523 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Pol Martin Tiffon48c210.52$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.471,10752.8%585 W · 522 L+2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72db…1029backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly53c202.11$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1211058.2%64 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Pol Martin Tiffon48c200$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052,27542.7%972 W · 1,303 L+33.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1144,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly52c185$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.226244.7%117 W · 145 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly8c174.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.142,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly36c156.07$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.191,38116.4%227 W · 1,154 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Pol Martin Tiffon49c154$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5481047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Pol Martin Tiffon45c138.58$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.221,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Pol Martin Tiffon49c132.65$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6525051.6%129 W · 121 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Pol Martin Tiffon48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651,19852.4%628 W · 570 L+28.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly30c124.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.511,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Pol Martin Tiffon46c112.17$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.572,86849.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L+23.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Pol Martin Tiffon49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0428748.8%140 W · 147 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly71c94.8$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3147274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb05e…599abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x87e6…9c8abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509050%45 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Pol Martin Tiffon47c91.25$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3686050.1%431 W · 429 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe545…e9bebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly53c90.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.182065%13 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Pol Martin Tiffon47c90$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.71,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked Pol Martin Tiffon48c89.02$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.344744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92c8…45f6backed Pol Martin Tiffon60c81.89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7922544.4%100 W · 125 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Pol Martin Tiffon49c78.6$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.091,06857.4%613 W · 455 L+21.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8bb…7cefbacked Pol Martin Tiffon46c75.23$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4636743.6%160 W · 207 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly54c72.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly52c64.8$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.745751%233 W · 224 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly32c61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4335329.7%105 W · 248 L-34.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-33.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Pol Martin Tiffon48c59.44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.912,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Pol Martin Tiffon71c59.18$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3631366.8%209 W · 104 L+27.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly63c57.75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5928048.9%137 W · 143 L-14.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly25c52.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.231,96043.8%858 W · 1,102 L-20.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly31c51.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.711,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.567848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Pol Martin Tiffon48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.244452.5%233 W · 211 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a44…5e33backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Pol Martin Tiffon39c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.681,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly52c49.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9283747.6%398 W · 439 L-2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Pol Martin Tiffon45c48.58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.728442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Pol Martin Tiffon48c42.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.331,88145.7%860 W · 1,021 L+51.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Pol Martin Tiffon51c41.16$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.141,12056.5%633 W · 487 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadde…ec24backed Pol Martin Tiffon45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229948.5%48 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x362c…67e6backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly50c39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4337255.6%207 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff06…c7d5backed Pol Martin Tiffon30c33.34$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3414757.8%85 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly55c31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0584640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly53c27.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4822559.1%133 W · 92 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Pol Martin Tiffon48c25.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2673748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde2f…ad33backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7625336.4%92 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e20…5cf9backed Pol Martin Tiffon49c20.55$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4135555.5%197 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Pol Martin Tiffon64c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7659253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef2c…be40backed Pol Martin Tiffon67c14.93$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.937958.2%46 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.