TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4b60…82e5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: UFC, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2842.9%12 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.76
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.11
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$985.39
Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.88
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.49
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,618Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,617.75
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,024Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$1,303.11
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.74
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.46
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$22.09
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)backed BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+44%+$6.6
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.66
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$75.91
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+56.3%+$27.33
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$77.82
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Counter-Strike: AMKAL ESPORTS vs MOUZ NXT (BO3)backed AMKAL ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Grizzliesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+85.2%+$1,021.2
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,006.5
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+26.6%+$2.81
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,041.6
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$688Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$688
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+138.1%+$45.57
All 6 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Bbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.97
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Flyersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,098Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$898.19
Wild vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,187.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$837Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$836.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Alice Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+85.2%+$14.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,259Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,258.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.