TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
RED Canidsof Spirit, RED Canids
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,726
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,726 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked RED Canids29c24,929$7,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,749.8877052.7%406 W · 364 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Spirit71c10,368$7,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,369.8825751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Spirit71c8,055$5,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,719.2276657.8%443 W · 323 L+3.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked RED Canids29c7,874$2,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,598.7183652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Spirit71c7,632$5,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,419.0123848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked RED Canids41c5,335$2,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,141.583,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Spirit72c5,179$3,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,728.8314954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde8f…2c72backed Spirit70c4,685$3,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,260.8528056.4%158 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Spirit70c4,332$3,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,032.4339249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Spirit71c4,300$3,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,052.9938358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Spirit70c3,400$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,380.2484454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed RED Canids30c2,873$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,020.9520249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9597…efcabacked RED Canids29c2,641$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.761346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed RED Canids28c2,500$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9235236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Spirit71c2,457$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.1213545.9%62 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked RED Canids29c2,088$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.631,16748.2%562 W · 605 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Spirit65c2,031$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.91,02052.2%532 W · 488 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed RED Canids28c2,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4401,08950.9%554 W · 535 L+38.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked RED Canids33c1,560$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.532,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Spirit72c1,315$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.8239157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed RED Canids28c1,300$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.9760848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7673…fa40backed RED Canids30c1,274$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.92441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Spirit72c1,255$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.211952.1%62 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe2b…20e4backed Spirit48c1,230$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.169635.4%34 W · 62 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked RED Canids30c958$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.653545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed RED Canids29c957.4$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.7546749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…c848backed RED Canids29c957.4$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.7511235.7%40 W · 72 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked RED Canids28c888$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.361,14649.4%566 W · 580 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Spirit73c859.81$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.6620946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Spirit61c851.15$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.8935643%153 W · 203 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed RED Canids27c821.25$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.5122049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Spirit72c786.56$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.322774.1%20 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x111f…9bebbacked RED Canids30c709.88$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.91887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+59.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed RED Canids30c670.6$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.4226154.4%142 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed RED Canids21c603.78$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.9933232.2%107 W · 225 L-0.8wins0.00per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4969…6d77backed RED Canids30c593.96$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.7722734.4%78 W · 149 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc645…e8bbbacked Spirit71c590$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.92774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x86af…f384backed Spirit79c568.65$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.259764.9%63 W · 34 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Spirit72c548.69$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.0612954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755c…0854backed Spirit72c544.92$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.355056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aaa…040abacked RED Canids29c534.82$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.721020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-52.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Spirit60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30094945.8%435 W · 514 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked RED Canids29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35517945.3%81 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Spirit79c493.7$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.0215249.3%75 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed RED Canids29c478.7$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.885349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3488…54c2backed Spirit72c409.67$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.9614856.1%83 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Spirit57c349.09$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9836555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed RED Canids40c346.05$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.752,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Spirit64c343.97$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.1469635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed RED Canids29c330.14$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.437232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked RED Canids30c325.72$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2289443.6%41 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked RED Canids30c319.33$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.5325855%142 W · 116 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked RED Canids26c300$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2221,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…a898backed Spirit79c299.99$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.998953.9%48 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…c4a6backed Spirit71c275.4$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.54933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-49%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1512…68f3backed Spirit69c272.64$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.1429153.6%156 W · 135 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked Spirit63c266.31$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.843548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9345…0afbbacked Spirit71c260$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.615363.4%97 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed RED Canids30c258.66$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0645544.4%202 W · 253 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed RED Canids30c252.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.0950947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed RED Canids35c240.25$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1621351.2%109 W · 104 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Spirit71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14230062.3%187 W · 113 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91d9…13f4backed RED Canids43c190.91$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.821338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x143d…2602backed Spirit71c182.2$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3612557.6%72 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4619…2108backed Spirit71c170$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.76355.6%35 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5617…8c67backed Spirit66c159.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.632842.9%12 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-33.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ebc…c639backed Spirit70c149.25$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.292536%9 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Spirit72c140.39$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0813058.5%76 W · 54 L-0.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52c5…5878backed RED Canids30c132.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5414445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed RED Canids21c128.95$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.873348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Spirit72c127.82$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0347665.1%310 W · 166 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked RED Canids30c123.49$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.448537.6%32 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Spirit71c111.86$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4261654.9%338 W · 278 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Spirit71c110.88$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6137757.8%218 W · 159 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked RED Canids29c109.14$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4949245.9%226 W · 266 L-1.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked RED Canids35c102.95$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.912650%13 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06f9…3978backed RED Canids43c101.93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+45%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed RED Canids34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.51,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d56…52b1backed Spirit71c98.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.763050%15 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6018…f21bbacked Spirit60c97.51$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.116446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed RED Canids34c96.87$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2228346.6%132 W · 151 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Spirit79c96.29$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0722952%119 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed RED Canids29c95.54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8336946.9%173 W · 196 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed RED Canids28c83.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.112533.6%42 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc7…9194backed RED Canids31c80.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.219251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Spirit72c79.37$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1435466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Spirit64c77.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.729538.9%37 W · 58 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed RED Canids25c76.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.491,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c8f…4449backed Spirit68c73.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.012948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2b…8775backed Spirit71c69.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1328556.8%162 W · 123 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc4e…c150backed Spirit72c68.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.216856%94 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Spirit72c68.28$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1640050.8%203 W · 197 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83f3…9afebacked Spirit72c68.28$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.163961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39dd…7af9backed RED Canids43c67.38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.413429.4%10 W · 24 L-6.2wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-45.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb171…32f0backed RED Canids22c64.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6918239%71 W · 111 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Spirit28c60.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.157142.3%30 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96b1…812bbacked Spirit46c59.76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.241338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7eb…bfbfbacked Spirit72c58.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.478145.7%37 W · 44 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4985…dce4backed RED Canids30c57.61$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3313545.9%62 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked RED Canids35c55.14$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8327015.2%41 W · 229 L-41.9wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-54.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.