CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02e0d656bfb8b3f7ae49564647d59ea544c93fa526799209091690971fe0c05a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Over | 28c | 3,073$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.97 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Under | 72c | 2,274$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.4 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over | 71c | 2,046$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.93 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 30c | 1,214$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.61 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…89b6backed Under | 73c | 1,072$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.94 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 26c | 599.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.99 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 74c | 545.46$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.64 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Over | 28c | 493.35$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.32 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Under | 19c | 475.7$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 15c | 322.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 29c | 320.05$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Under | 73c | 305.92$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.32 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 59c | 285.88$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.64 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 28c | 274.83$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Over | 51c | 269.89$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.2 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 27c | 208.76$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.39 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Under | 67c | 176.53$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.19 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Over | 26c | 156.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.15 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 51c | 147.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 20c | 130.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5862…76abbacked Under | 54c | 102.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…9194backed Over | 27c | 100.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.11 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 44c | 98.53$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 64c | 97.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…1495backed Under | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…ac15backed Under | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 61c | 80.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 43c | 78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 43c | 74.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df7…b3fabacked Under | 22c | 69.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 73c | 64.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 53c | 62.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 41c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 52c | 59.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 45c | 54.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Under | 74c | 53.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 27c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…2ae1backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Under | 71c | 49.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 21c | 49.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Over | 79c | 49.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5717…58b4backed Under | 74c | 46.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 68c | 31.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Over | 49c | 30.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…6eacbacked Over | 71c | 21.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ff…572cbacked Over | 71c | 20.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 60 | 76.7%46 W · 14 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 61c | 20.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 62c | 19.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Under | 62c | 19.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Under | 74c | 17.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913a…5614backed Over | 68c | 17.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group ASpirit won
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerRED Canids won
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)RED Canids won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.