TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof RED Canids, Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$978,038
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,082,865

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $978,038 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 423 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Spirit79c116,361$91,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,435.9122049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed RED Canids21c91,097$19,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,113.4914441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed RED Canids13c29,203$3,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,832.4832425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked RED Canids13c25,854$3,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,398.9941040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked RED Canids18c24,204$4,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,461.9217042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked RED Canids0c22,062$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4112736.2%46 W · 81 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Spirit68c19,806$13,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,337.969551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked RED Canids30c17,228$5,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,248.3783652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aaa…3b90backed RED Canids11c17,211$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,893.2333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed RED Canids9c16,586$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.6430340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed RED Canids28c16,134$4,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,498.8212653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed RED Canids9c15,500$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.9732732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed RED Canids12c12,188$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.736742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed RED Canids14c12,065$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,745.125848.3%28 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Spirit69c10,913$7,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,382.9423848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf394…cdb1backed RED Canids10c10,045$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.496650%33 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed RED Canids32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.9937157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked Spirit70c9,820$6,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,94619757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Spirit74c9,700$7,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,513.5735850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93f6…4814backed RED Canids29c9,158$2,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,688.256126.2%16 W · 45 L-7.9wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-31%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed RED Canids9c8,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7651,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed RED Canids21c8,457$1,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.2912353.7%66 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked RED Canids10c8,181$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.497425.7%19 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed RED Canids27c7,965$2,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,178.38032.5%26 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked RED Canids16c5,918$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.8532536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked Spirit67c5,850$3,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,930.3116448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed RED Canids7c5,750$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41021956.2%123 W · 96 L+14.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed RED Canids10c5,416$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.6342142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed RED Canids12c5,333$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.552,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed RED Canids8c5,014$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.224032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed RED Canids30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.992040%8 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed RED Canids25c5,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.996126.2%16 W · 45 L-9.7wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked RED Canids27c4,781$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.821424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked RED Canids22c4,697$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.0163541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed RED Canids32c4,693$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.7923852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Spirit70c4,661$3,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.1723355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56bd…e58dbacked Spirit78c4,586$3,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.9215857.6%91 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Spirit68c4,500$3,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.498862.5%55 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked RED Canids32c4,440$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.7829046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda17…abc5backed Spirit69c4,348$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.979353.8%50 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked RED Canids6c4,324$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.914947.7%71 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed RED Canids32c4,280$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.312451.6%64 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked RED Canids18c4,223$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.97,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Spirit68c4,134$2,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.8123249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked RED Canids9c4,123$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.065543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spirit75c4,113$3,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.043,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Spirit70c4,013$2,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.7284454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed RED Canids8c4,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32097040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d2…f38bbacked RED Canids32c4,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2802152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked RED Canids17c3,910$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.3461228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked RED Canids14c3,812$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.7152837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed RED Canids11c3,541$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.375,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed RED Canids8c3,516$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.542,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf64f…9f48backed RED Canids17c3,391$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.964325.6%11 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce00…7ce0backed RED Canids16c3,039$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.22227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Spirit68c2,885$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.1148350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41c7…c8fbbacked RED Canids5c2,655$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.23528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e53…bf9abacked RED Canids32c2,573$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.516947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed RED Canids8c2,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010252%53 W · 49 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked RED Canids18c2,448$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.671,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked RED Canids20c2,378$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.551,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked RED Canids18c2,377$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.8653545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked RED Canids15c2,348$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.591,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed RED Canids17c2,267$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.176,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked RED Canids20c2,262$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45666446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed RED Canids21c2,220$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.4932042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bef…3787backed RED Canids21c2,017$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.79475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+63.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed RED Canids9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18055845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed RED Canids15c2,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.991,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed RED Canids21c1,976$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4084,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked RED Canids31c1,963$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.7798052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1c9…131cbacked RED Canids17c1,866$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.196137.7%23 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed RED Canids28c1,786$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.5157641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed RED Canids19c1,761$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.566041.7%25 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c35…877abacked Spirit74c1,724$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.85837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-47.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed Spirit68c1,717$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.46147.5%29 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed RED Canids17c1,593$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.925248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed RED Canids18c1,580$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.335347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9597…efcabacked RED Canids8c1,564$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.191346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked RED Canids5c1,537$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0139970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked RED Canids32c1,522$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.4528443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked RED Canids6c1,514$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8531253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked RED Canids16c1,503$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.83,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e1…b3d2backed RED Canids9c1,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351625%4 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked RED Canids17c1,500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25517148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc953…01bfbacked Spirit77c1,478$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.281266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6033…8a83backed RED Canids15c1,469$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.6515133.1%50 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked RED Canids33c1,454$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.91947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed RED Canids18c1,443$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.5388746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Spirit68c1,442$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.3439157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed Spirit68c1,440$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.8218752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed RED Canids16c1,411$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.7539248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3878…1ab8backed RED Canids13c1,361$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6617840.4%72 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RED Canids17c1,357$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.415,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f9…db30backed RED Canids30c1,340$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.943228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf740…cf50backed RED Canids29c1,293$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.6613943.9%61 W · 78 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed RED Canids4c1,279$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.618426.1%48 W · 136 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked RED Canids18c1,244$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22040253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked RED Canids15c1,233$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2329052.4%152 W · 138 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed RED Canids30c1,213$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.2119652.6%103 W · 93 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.