TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x913a…5614

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT3342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$60.45
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$9.87
LoL: LUA Gaming vs GIANTX iTero - Game 1 Winnerbacked LUA Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.88
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$16.09
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.94
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.56
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$25.58
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$15.81
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+86.7%+$16.85
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.15
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs Solary (+1.5)backed Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick19cpaid+48%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+358.6%+$42.99
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.31
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+372.2%+$59.54
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+168.6%+$33.29
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+328.8%+$37.59
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-45%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+56.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.41
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+191.3%+$22.05
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
All 4 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$11.73
Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$26.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$7.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.