Lol · resolved market
LoL: LUA Gaming vs GIANTX iTero - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd34750aa081932e0b92529706a0619ddd36d0566cc85c4a283f317c72897d9e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GIANTX iTeroof LUA Gaming, GIANTX iTero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked LUA Gaming | 20c | 2,679$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.81 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…6163backed GIANTX iTero | 66c | 985.04$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.1 | 453 | 66%299 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed GIANTX iTero | 80c | 857.11$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.42 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked LUA Gaming | 42c | 687.59$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.84 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb08…b630backed LUA Gaming | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed GIANTX iTero | 80c | 526.11$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.22 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked GIANTX iTero | 80c | 494$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed GIANTX iTero | 80c | 487.74$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed GIANTX iTero | 80c | 247$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed LUA Gaming | 12c | 236.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed LUA Gaming | 15c | 214.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 237 | 42.2%100 W · 137 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked LUA Gaming | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed LUA Gaming | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed LUA Gaming | 11c | 194.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed LUA Gaming | 17c | 170.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 115 | 32.2%37 W · 78 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked LUA Gaming | 19c | 107.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x470c…2af9backed LUA Gaming | 22c | 105.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 166 | 36.1%60 W · 106 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed GIANTX iTero | 79c | 98.61$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed GIANTX iTero | 72c | 81.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked LUA Gaming | 32c | 60.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ea…9d52backed LUA Gaming | 50c | 38.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf0…af43backed LUA Gaming | 33c | 38.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed GIANTX iTero | 67c | 34.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa34…02c5backed GIANTX iTero | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913a…5614backed LUA Gaming | 48c | 24.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked GIANTX iTero | 68c | 22.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LUA Gaming vs GIANTX iTero - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: GXI (-1.5) vs LUA Gaming (+1.5)GIANTX iTero won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LUA Gaming vs GIANTX iTero (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonGIANTX iTero won
- LoL: LUA Gaming vs GIANTX iTero - Game 2 WinnerGIANTX iTero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.