Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: GXI (-1.5) vs LUA Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31e571f9a2c8552855e3c1e4d9bc620595e6a99cc0354cc0fd93c5ea7dce52e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GIANTX iTeroof GIANTX iTero, LUA Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x481d…9098backed LUA Gaming | 28c | 2,727$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed GIANTX iTero | 72c | 1,524$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.71 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked GIANTX iTero | 71c | 1,062$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.17 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed LUA Gaming | 30c | 1,027$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked GIANTX iTero | 74c | 693.96$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.17 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked LUA Gaming | 25c | 625.86$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.01 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed LUA Gaming | 27c | 379.04$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed GIANTX iTero | 75c | 354.93$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked LUA Gaming | 25c | 347.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.83 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed GIANTX iTero | 70c | 274.96$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…5627backed GIANTX iTero | 70c | 234.86$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked GIANTX iTero | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked GIANTX iTero | 75c | 137.98$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 981 | 63.8%626 W · 355 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed GIANTX iTero | 72c | 136.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…15ddbacked GIANTX iTero | 74c | 135.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed GIANTX iTero | 75c | 98.51$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed GIANTX iTero | 75c | 98.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed GIANTX iTero | 72c | 81.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d5…306dbacked GIANTX iTero | 71c | 63.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed LUA Gaming | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked LUA Gaming | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…9bebbacked GIANTX iTero | 70c | 56.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed LUA Gaming | 38c | 53.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd44…914abacked GIANTX iTero | 75c | 51.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7ec8backed GIANTX iTero | 75c | 38.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed GIANTX iTero | 75c | 34.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed GIANTX iTero | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed GIANTX iTero | 60c | 19.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: GXI (-1.5) vs LUA Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LUA Gaming vs GIANTX iTero (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonGIANTX iTero won
- LoL: LUA Gaming vs GIANTX iTero - Game 1 WinnerGIANTX iTero won
- LoL: LUA Gaming vs GIANTX iTero - Game 2 WinnerGIANTX iTero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.