Lol · resolved market
LoL: LUA Gaming vs GIANTX iTero (BO3) - LES Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44c6b27b11b2f901f1a025551e5f12cbcce1b5967cdd246c7686007beb7eec83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GIANTX iTeroof LUA Gaming, GIANTX iTero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed LUA Gaming | 11c | 2,001$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.12 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LUA Gaming | 4c | 1,759$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed LUA Gaming | 8c | 1,008$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked LUA Gaming | 10c | 613.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.34 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…ffa6backed LUA Gaming | 12c | 597.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…c9bebacked LUA Gaming | 12c | 552.53$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed LUA Gaming | 9c | 539.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked LUA Gaming | 12c | 390.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked LUA Gaming | 13c | 352.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed LUA Gaming | 10c | 320.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed LUA Gaming | 10c | 310.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 468 | 41.7%195 W · 273 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…d091backed LUA Gaming | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…6821backed LUA Gaming | 13c | 297.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked LUA Gaming | 10c | 236.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…c5e1backed LUA Gaming | 12c | 186.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed LUA Gaming | 12c | 175$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed LUA Gaming | 10c | 172.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed LUA Gaming | 17c | 165.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x470c…2af9backed LUA Gaming | 12c | 157.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 166 | 36.1%60 W · 106 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed LUA Gaming | 9c | 149.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 237 | 42.2%100 W · 137 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed LUA Gaming | 11c | 129.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 177 | 39%69 W · 108 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…8116backed LUA Gaming | 11c | 129.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked LUA Gaming | 17c | 106.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 495 | 14.3%71 W · 424 L | -70.5wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed LUA Gaming | 14c | 100.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed LUA Gaming | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 580 | 42.4%246 W · 334 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d5…d1bbbacked LUA Gaming | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked LUA Gaming | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked LUA Gaming | 11c | 99.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LUA Gaming | 17c | 73.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked GIANTX iTero | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 981 | 63.8%626 W · 355 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LUA Gaming vs GIANTX iTero (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonthis page
- Game Handicap: GXI (-1.5) vs LUA Gaming (+1.5)GIANTX iTero won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LUA Gaming vs GIANTX iTero - Game 1 WinnerGIANTX iTero won
- LoL: LUA Gaming vs GIANTX iTero - Game 2 WinnerGIANTX iTero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.