Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9002a0d838114b3df82d9fba3212444fddfcb12889d41675dbf6656142419e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 29c | 2,448$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.08 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 80c | 1,809$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.71 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 20c | 1,054$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.79 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Over | 16c | 569.76$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Over | 20c | 428.4$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Under | 67c | 325.72$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.49 | 437 | 39.8%174 W · 263 L | -23.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,726 | 29.4%507 W · 1,219 L | -124.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1198…3ba5backed Under | 67c | 232.82$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Under | 67c | 219.45$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 23c | 92.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Under | 67c | 76.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked Under | 77c | 64.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 981 | 63.8%626 W · 355 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 77c | 61.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1,133 | 31.1%352 W · 781 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Under | 78c | 52.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ef…06c8backed Under | 78c | 37.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 66c | 32.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 69c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 67c | 19.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: GXI (-1.5) vs LUA Gaming (+1.5)GIANTX iTero won
- LoL: LUA Gaming vs GIANTX iTero (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonGIANTX iTero won
- LoL: LUA Gaming vs GIANTX iTero - Game 1 WinnerGIANTX iTero won
- LoL: LUA Gaming vs GIANTX iTero - Game 2 WinnerGIANTX iTero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.