TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa113…93f4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
925
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT18931.2%59 W · 130 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 189 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$936Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+39%+$365.28
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.67
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,057.19
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,608Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,607.7
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,029Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,029.33
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,169Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$3,124.4
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,926Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,926.29
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,554Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,553.71
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,507Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+140%+$3,509.62
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,077.22
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$770.16
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.11
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,693Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+300.9%+$5,095.68
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.65
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$763.57
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$361.17
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.81
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.8
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.85
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,272Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+228.2%+$7,465.33
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,065.32
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,283.66
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+29.9%+$13.8
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$183.18
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,445Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,445.18
Showing 25 of 189 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11532.2%37 W · 78 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 115 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Polar Squad Esports vs Kits Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular seasonbacked Polar Squad Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.56
LoL: Polar Squad Esports vs Kits Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Polar Squad Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
LoL: 3v Team vs Fuego (BO3) - LRN Regular seasonbacked 3v Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular seasonbacked SDM Tigres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Maryville University vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Dorado Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+228.8%+$159.78
LoL: Maryville University vs Dorado Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dorado Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.04
LoL: Maryville University vs Dorado Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dorado Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+529.7%+$477.79
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$79.53
LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$82.99
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$85
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$227.27
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$328.57
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Cbacked WLGaming Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 115 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT9837.8%37 W · 61 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$13.71
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+280.4%+$70.09
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+43.9%+$26.37
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$818Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+27.5%+$225.17
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$91.3
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+134.4%+$57.46
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
US forces in Venezuela by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.9%+$49.07
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$98.79
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.71
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Trump declares another national emergency by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump send the national guard to San Francisco by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$63.46
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+119.6%+$714.95
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT7131%22 W · 49 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.7
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+112.3%+$112.31
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
US x Iran meeting by April 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.74
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$113.4
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.28
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$281.98
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.1
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.57
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.91
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.39
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.55
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT7121.1%15 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$99.6
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$48.66
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+133.1%+$57.1
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Fabric FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+426.8%+$85.35
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+192%+$76.81
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$36.77
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+177.8%+$64
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$17.62
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+431.7%+$86.35
Over $5M committed to the Bitway public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+35.1%+$28.11
Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$45.3
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+60.1%+$16.14
Ranger FDV above $60M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.17
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$96.35
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$27.86
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$652.71
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$229.47
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.2
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT6038.3%23 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.98
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$793Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$792.56
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+101%+$89.41
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+305.6%+$1,841.45
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,878Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,878.2
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$41.68
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+182.5%+$20.04
Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+578.4%+$2,701.53
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.13
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$106.51
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.2
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 165 and 179 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will there be no coalition by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$24.39
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+33.3%+$30.88
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$76.12
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$526.94
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+371.7%+$151.67
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT5625%14 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick25cpaid-34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.2
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.44
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.78
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.8
Will It Was Just An Accident win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Will Armed Only with a Camera: The Life and Death of Brent Renaud win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74
Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$172
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$87.98
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+228.9%+$34.34
Will A Friend of Dorothy win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Forevergreen win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will The Girl Who Cried Pearls win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+283.2%+$56.65
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.39
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$353.6
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$17.55
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.31
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$105.02
Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$55.2
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$144.51
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$121.8
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+148%+$252.85
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$127.58
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$132.93
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$86.3
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80.22
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+203%+$134
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+48.9%+$120.9
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+199.6%+$98.71
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$98.47
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$34.96
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$48.53
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9.3
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+84.3%+$115.5
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+97.3%+$136.19
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2821.4%6 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another country boycott Eurovision 2026 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$43.08
Will SWAG (Justin Bieber) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Manchild (Sabrina Carpenter) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Manchild (Sabrina Carpenter) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40.91
Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+2,454.3%+$682.77
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.2
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+258.4%+$72.1
Will "Man's Best Friend - Sabrina Carpenter" win Best Pop Vocal Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will "DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS - Bad Bunny" win Best Música Urbana Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Sombr win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will KATSEYE win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+192.7%+$121.8
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 20 minutes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 22 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT2817.9%5 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+741.7%+$96.42
Will Elon tweet between 280 and 299 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.57
Will Elon tweet between 260 and 279 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon tweet between 220 and 239 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+43%+$252.7
Will Elon tweet between 240 and 259 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.9
Will Elon tweet between 200 and 219 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.85
Will Elon tweet less than 200 times September 5–12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$61.69
Will Elon tweet between 480 and 509 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet between 390 and 419 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 4–11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.7
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Elon tweet 320–334 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+667.1%+$468.4
Will Elon tweet 335–349 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.97
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.55
Will Elon tweet 305–319 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.45
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT2817.9%5 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-51.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Julie Emerson be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Eric Adams get over 1% in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+201%+$30.15
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+31.1%+$13.74
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 15% and 20% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 25% and 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 20% and 25% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 13% and 16% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 10% and 13% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 55% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+198.1%+$41.6
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 22% and 25% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 16% and 19% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 45% and 50% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$38.9
Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 45% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+400%+$80
Zohran Mamdani Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 9-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$88.66
Will Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$27.2
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 6-9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+38.2%+$80.74
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2714.8%4 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-66.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$95.23
Claude 4.7 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.12
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+150%+$75
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.79
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+270.4%+$73
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$67
Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$22.4
Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$17.55
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$288.83
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 28 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$21.4
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 24 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25.4
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 27 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18.79
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$40.9
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 26 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20.2
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 25 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$28.59
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 30 2025 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$95.47
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$60.5
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 21 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$37.95
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 22 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14.8
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 17 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick34cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+40%+$180.9
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$52.97
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.93
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$82.68
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.9
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+460.9%+$100.57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+408.1%+$172.46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$88.74
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+94.5%+$17.77
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$21.63
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$31.28
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-50.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: HereWeGoAgain vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stagebacked HereWeGoAgain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Brute - Map 2 Winnerbacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$159.5
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.1
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffsbacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.6
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.48
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffsbacked Procyon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$447.87
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffsbacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.23
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffsbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.36
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.03
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffsbacked Procyon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.91
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffsbacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+116%+$168.34
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Bebop (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.08
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$14.77
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$60.45
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.76
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.49
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Braves vs. Athleticsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Phillies vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$26.69
Nationals vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$19.7
Diamondbacks vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Rangers vs. Angelsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Guardians vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Blue Jays vs. White Soxbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
Cubs vs. Twinsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.78
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Pirates vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$14.05
Rockies vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+39.9%+$31.94
Rays vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Tigers vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
All 13 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-77.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+190.6%+$756.26
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.6
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.05
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.62
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.48
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
The Masters 2026: Hole in One?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.74
All 13 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+423.8%+$84.76
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+132.5%+$66.25
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+138.5%+$69.27
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will a dozen eggs be between $4.25-4.5 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will a dozen eggs be between $4-4.25 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.2
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.75-4 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+155.7%+$79.7
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$169.2
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+48.4%+$90.8
Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$105.34
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+258%+$270.86
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+75.2%+$101.46
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Will Powell say "Sorry" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+31.2%+$3.74
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+763.2%+$357.49
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$63.01
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$41.66
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$51.57
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$36.03
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$80.72
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-57%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$17.97
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov backed Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$405
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $120 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+112.8%+$45.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Broadcom beat Q2 earnings forecast ($1.57 EPS)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$830
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.