CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x640db7a54e47fbea282f4e59076b9607828337ce44cab34c130adcea63a7cb3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNO MILLEof UNO MILLE, ALKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked UNO MILLE | 69c | 1,736$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.31 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ALKA | 30c | 1,589$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…39d8backed UNO MILLE | 68c | 1,456$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ALKA | 30c | 961.73$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.28 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ALKA | 33c | 519.96$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.59 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed ALKA | 31c | 407.52$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.22 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d3…52d9backed ALKA | 12c | 366.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed ALKA | 20c | 300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed UNO MILLE | 67c | 299.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed UNO MILLE | 67c | 292.79$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.76 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked ALKA | 33c | 243.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UNO MILLE | 80c | 219.34$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed ALKA | 35c | 156.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ALKA | 29c | 149.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UNO MILLE | 77c | 141.2$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed ALKA | 32c | 120.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed ALKA | 32c | 113.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed ALKA | 33c | 110.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed UNO MILLE | 73c | 107.67$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed ALKA | 31c | 100.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed ALKA | 27c | 93.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…74f7backed ALKA | 35c | 64.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -10.5wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…b08bbacked UNO MILLE | 73c | 58.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -10.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed ALKA | 32c | 58.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ALKA | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked ALKA | 23c | 48.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9895backed UNO MILLE | 68c | 46.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…af78backed ALKA | 34c | 35.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x386f…3f67backed UNO MILLE | 69c | 30.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked UNO MILLE | 70c | 29.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…4372backed UNO MILLE | 68c | 25.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed UNO MILLE | 68c | 24.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…6de8backed UNO MILLE | 68c | 24.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked UNO MILLE | 70c | 20.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed UNO MILLE | 67c | 19.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs ALKA - Map 1 WinnerUNO MILLE won
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerUNO MILLE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.