TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4359…4372

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: World Politics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 52 out of 100; worst Valorant at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.59
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$20.93
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.72
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$20.13
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.56
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffsbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.28
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffsbacked Procyon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$9.11
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$47.59
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffsbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.71
Counter-Strike: regain vs EMPIRE (BO3) - Dust2.us Eagle Masters Playoffsbacked regain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$18.24
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.63
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.49
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs UNiTY esports (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$5.27
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$25.81
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.5
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$32.99
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Playoffsbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.87
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.13
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.96
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.95
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$140.39
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$67.98
All 22 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: M80 vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$12.17
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.61
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$35.34
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.14
Valorant: NRG vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.23
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+228.9%+$71.68
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.92
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Group Bbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.14
Valorant: 9z Team vs Leviatán Academy (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Group Abacked Leviatán Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+58%+$26.02
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$28.35
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.24
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.43
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$16.67
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$14.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.