CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs UNiTY esports (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22306b2fcaaf7535a7f8f9c2462a6e1357f1b54f2e19fd2afb907021fa37bbd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof Alliance, UNiTY esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed UNiTY esports | 23c | 2,097$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.55 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Alliance | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed Alliance | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed UNiTY esports | 9c | 617.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Alliance | 78c | 378.18$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.16 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…b45fbacked Alliance | 79c | 249.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UNiTY esports | 13c | 239.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d44…9f3bbacked Alliance | 80c | 215.96$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed Alliance | 78c | 212.16$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed UNiTY esports | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…5ff0backed UNiTY esports | 24c | 162.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed Alliance | 76c | 116.17$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed UNiTY esports | 23c | 107.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed UNiTY esports | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed UNiTY esports | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed UNiTY esports | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed UNiTY esports | 24c | 93.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Alliance | 75c | 93.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5229…2befbacked UNiTY esports | 20c | 72.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked UNiTY esports | 24c | 53.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Alliance | 77c | 53.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed UNiTY esports | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed UNiTY esports | 22c | 46.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…9194backed Alliance | 78c | 38.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…4372backed Alliance | 79c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Alliance | 77c | 21.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Alliance | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34e1…02bfbacked Alliance | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.