TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fake do Biruof ODDIK, Fake do Biru
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,891

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked ODDIK63c7,825$4,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,968.7175452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed Fake do Biru60c5,286$3,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.7712259.8%73 W · 49 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed Fake do Biru70c4,651$3,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.9220554.1%111 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+65.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Fake do Biru78c3,955$3,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.388748.3%42 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ODDIK43c3,900$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.75,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x928a…8044backed Fake do Biru56c3,772$2,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.0120358.6%119 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Fake do Biru37c3,540$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,229.9384454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed ODDIK30c3,043$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.691,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Fake do Biru26c2,002$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.541,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed ODDIK53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06043055.1%237 W · 193 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eae…eab7backed Fake do Biru36c1,754$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed ODDIK66c1,582$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.3260748.1%292 W · 315 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed ODDIK65c1,542$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.9420249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed ODDIK48c1,525$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.5956732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked ODDIK41c1,440$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.812,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed ODDIK29c1,306$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.8578043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ODDIK37c1,304$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.081,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked ODDIK36c1,291$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.3216920.1%34 W · 135 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Fake do Biru36c1,266$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.347040%28 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fake do Biru34c1,191$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.181,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed ODDIK18c1,126$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4444743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Fake do Biru47c1,008$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.1252951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked ODDIK62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62016240.1%65 W · 97 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed Fake do Biru36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6403345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Fake do Biru57c947.13$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.345052%26 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb35a…e2fcbacked ODDIK42c938.98$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Fake do Biru76c933.92$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2232,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Fake do Biru56c918.39$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.611,76859.2%1,047 W · 721 L+105.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ODDIK36c910.01$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.664,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f1f…421cbacked Fake do Biru36c904.43$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ODDIK39c886.15$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.722,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Fake do Biru34c866.28$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.7433044.5%147 W · 183 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Fake do Biru67c805.39$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.831,08354.2%587 W · 496 L+39.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked ODDIK79c750.97$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.235044%22 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff87…f5f7backed ODDIK71c729.81$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.523545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed ODDIK61c718.22$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.8318536.2%67 W · 118 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fake do Biru40c636.78$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.875,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce66…59c4backed Fake do Biru39c632.34$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.541637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed ODDIK53c600.08$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.332,42944.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L-63.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Fake do Biru32c600$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4085,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed ODDIK45c598.7$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.811,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4cd…a898backed Fake do Biru61c544.98$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.988953.9%48 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf15…2aa9backed ODDIK66c526.05$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.195253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf727…2aecbacked ODDIK66c521$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.86742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Fake do Biru36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32012045%54 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Fake do Biru37c488.31$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.3914955%82 W · 67 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed Fake do Biru35c469.82$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.382934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.8wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfc99…ce7ebacked ODDIK50c402.2$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.118933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fake do Biru57c379.41$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.667,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed ODDIK52c368.74$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6140141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked ODDIK42c357.19$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5932457.4%186 W · 138 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f1…701fbacked Fake do Biru35c349.57$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.225759.6%34 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8f96…1e41backed Fake do Biru36c349.57$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ODDIK54c324.96$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.654,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed ODDIK34c316.03$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.822,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa66…e95bbacked Fake do Biru61c309.05$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.77966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked ODDIK45c302.5$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2945138.4%173 W · 278 L-29.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a6b…66b6backed Fake do Biru80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604450%22 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked ODDIK34c285.72$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.071,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Fake do Biru41c283.36$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.7813545.2%61 W · 74 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Fake do Biru55c269.74$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3957358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Fake do Biru35c268.53$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.5547047.4%223 W · 247 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked ODDIK47c255.38$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7627548%132 W · 143 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c77…60d2backed Fake do Biru34c238.41$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.353100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+135.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9df1…7776backed Fake do Biru29c237.3$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.98333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Fake do Biru34c234.34$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.6633459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd98…6178backed Fake do Biru34c227.2$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.191275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+43.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked ODDIK41c224.18$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.348319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed ODDIK35c222.5$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2410725.2%27 W · 80 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Fake do Biru34c221.07$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8763341.9%265 W · 368 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Fake do Biru53c216.93$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9657641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Fake do Biru34c200$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13232844.5%146 W · 182 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed Fake do Biru75c199.96$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9932746.5%152 W · 175 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked ODDIK66c198.4$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.941,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Fake do Biru35c197.74$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5360853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e33…c3eebacked Fake do Biru47c195.7$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed ODDIK62c193.95$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.252,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cb…edaabacked Fake do Biru35c192.2$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.933636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-35.6%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed ODDIK41c188.61$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.22,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ODDIK37c182.67$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.993,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed ODDIK54c181.27$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2256738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d04…022bbacked Fake do Biru20c178.25$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.333850%19 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18e…706dbacked Fake do Biru35c170.64$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.92850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed ODDIK44c166.24$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.312,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Fake do Biru59c165.86$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.339948.5%48 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f4c…dd9abacked Fake do Biru35c164.74$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed ODDIK64c161.97$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6618850%94 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5e…f707backed ODDIK7c161.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.33728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick17cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Fake do Biru34c150$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed ODDIK39c149.39$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.771,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aba…debfbacked Fake do Biru31c145.44$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.351931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed ODDIK12c145.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66a6…f22bbacked ODDIK30c140.72$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.46456.3%36 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed Fake do Biru35c137.29$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2421636.1%78 W · 138 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a88…a386backed Fake do Biru35c137.29$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.242227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed ODDIK52c135.37$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.396245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed ODDIK67c127.57$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.882,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked Fake do Biru34c127.11$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8914441%59 W · 85 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Fake do Biru68c125.77$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.953,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa177…4b0dbacked Fake do Biru26c124.88$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+92.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.