TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaa66…e95b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Dota2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$35.66
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$10.16
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$14.31
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$15.62
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$30.79
LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs RMD Gaming (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Play-Inbacked RMD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.01
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$51.88
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+152.7%+$29.43
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$42.81
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$8.96
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Abyssal (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 Playoffsbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$13.36
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$120.77
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$123.4
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs AaB Esport (BO3) - United21 Group Bbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$39.09
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.37
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z (BO5) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$16.33
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick66cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Dota 2: PlayTime vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+58%+$17.41
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$37.06
Dota 2: Grind Back vs GLYPH (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$8.05
Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.59
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$75.26
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$51.66
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$7.97
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.88
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,071Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$488.27
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.8
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$817Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+65%+$530.71
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$112.27
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$4.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$13.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.