Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18c55a0dd72742fa3bd95bba5bc19af06b692937acdd6e8c74240e90a0b9d5e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Yellow Submarine, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed Nemiga Gaming | 6c | 10,500$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.51 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nemiga Gaming | 3c | 6,776$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.23 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Nemiga Gaming | 0c | 6,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 3,779$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 2,968$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.98 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 2,519$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.76 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Nemiga Gaming | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 2,497$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.63 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Yellow Submarine | 74c | 2,473$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.85 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Nemiga Gaming | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 2,119$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 1,830$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.16 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nemiga Gaming | 2c | 1,764$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Yellow Submarine | 73c | 1,366$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.34 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 1,196$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.73 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Yellow Submarine | 79c | 983.98$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.85 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 951.48$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.03 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 5c | 950$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…7a8fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 13c | 870.14$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa80c…5a6dbacked Yellow Submarine | 76c | 830$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.03 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga Gaming | 4c | 828.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked Yellow Submarine | 75c | 694.94$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.73 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 17c | 690.81$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.35 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yellow Submarine | 78c | 673.61$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.02 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed Nemiga Gaming | 5c | 600$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Nemiga Gaming | 12c | 565$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 541.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 527.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Yellow Submarine | 79c | 506.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.66 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga Gaming | 6c | 502.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 486.39$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.84 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga Gaming | 14c | 462.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 454.75$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 446.39$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.92 | 135 | 51.9%70 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yellow Submarine | 79c | 422.01$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 412.76$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -8.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Yellow Submarine | 79c | 392.76$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.48 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nemiga Gaming | 14c | 378.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Yellow Submarine | 73c | 369.08$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.07 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 335.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 319.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 315.48$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.54 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Yellow Submarine | 74c | 313.79$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Yellow Submarine | 79c | 302.51$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Yellow Submarine | 79c | 302.5$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed Nemiga Gaming | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 299.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81be…a441backed Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 297$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yellow Submarine | 70c | 284.51$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.35 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 7c | 279.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Yellow Submarine | 75c | 267.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 139 | 75.5%105 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nemiga Gaming | 6c | 267$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…de96backed Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 256.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 256.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Nemiga Gaming | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Yellow Submarine | 73c | 249.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Nemiga Gaming | 6c | 229.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…fe90backed Nemiga Gaming | 9c | 226.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 10c | 208.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 207.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Nemiga Gaming | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…d384backed Yellow Submarine | 71c | 199.97$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1df…8155backed Nemiga Gaming | 12c | 188.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 185$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 165$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nemiga Gaming | 14c | 154.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Nemiga Gaming | 10c | 149.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 145$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 16c | 125.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 123.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 11c | 120.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 115$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Nemiga Gaming | 14c | 103.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…8267backed Yellow Submarine | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked Yellow Submarine | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 99.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 92.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 92.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Nemiga Gaming | 17c | 78.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Yellow Submarine | 74c | 74.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yellow Submarine | 79c | 72.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Yellow Submarine | 78c | 65.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Yellow Submarine | 80c | 54.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yellow Submarine | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Yellow Submarine | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 46.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Yellow Submarine | 78c | 38.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Yellow Submarine | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yellow Submarine | 75c | 36.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa66…e95bbacked Yellow Submarine | 71c | 28.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Yellow Submarine | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 49 | 85.7%42 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5be…d4f7backed Yellow Submarine | 71c | 24.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0447…6cf3backed Yellow Submarine | 77c | 20.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)Nemiga Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.