Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7424a1ef1139c2419a3b45b0149844e127b090ef56a3b9731806363d9ef189c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Yellow Submarine, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Yellow Submarine | 46c | 6,663$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,061.09 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 5,054$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710.94 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Yellow Submarine | 70c | 4,320$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,045.08 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.98 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Yellow Submarine | 77c | 3,912$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 2,859$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.67 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Yellow Submarine | 73c | 2,500$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.98 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 2,222$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.01 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 1,655$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.93 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 1,624$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.66 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Yellow Submarine | 79c | 1,610$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.88 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 1,402$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.75 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 1,293$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.43 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Yellow Submarine | 5c | 1,100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Yellow Submarine | 23c | 1,061$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.6 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 1,042$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.06 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Yellow Submarine | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Yellow Submarine | 50c | 994$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Yellow Submarine | 52c | 903.97$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.71 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Yellow Submarine | 75c | 800$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked Yellow Submarine | 77c | 738$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.46 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 720.09$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.89 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…7a8fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 719.95$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.1 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe996…3836backed Yellow Submarine | 66c | 693.14$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.47 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +33%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 640.24$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.68 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 542.85$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.28 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 535.56$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.56 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Yellow Submarine | 56c | 524.88$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.81 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yellow Submarine | 80c | 509.14$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.13 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 507$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.9 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nemiga Gaming | 8c | 500$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 415.03$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.98 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 408.11$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.11 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Nemiga Gaming | 14c | 401.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.2 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 387.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.36 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 383.63$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.72 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 372$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.12 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nemiga Gaming | 8c | 350$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.64 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 298.49$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.82 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 259$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.62 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 253.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.45 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 250.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.56 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 234.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.67 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 209.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.92 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 195.95$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.27 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Nemiga Gaming | 12c | 192.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.11 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Nemiga Gaming | 15c | 171.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.58 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 150$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Yellow Submarine | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 147.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.59 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…c40dbacked Yellow Submarine | 79c | 138.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.53 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 138.43$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 137.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.57 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b6…70b9backed Yellow Submarine | 21c | 121.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Yellow Submarine | 32c | 119$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 118.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.71 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 118$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Yellow Submarine | 76c | 109.01$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 107.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 105$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Yellow Submarine | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…3068backed Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 98.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yellow Submarine | 68c | 90$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 85.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Yellow Submarine | 52c | 77.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Yellow Submarine | 80c | 76.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 16c | 74.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 72.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…4a6bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 70.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Yellow Submarine | 33c | 66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 63.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Yellow Submarine | 50c | 58.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Nemiga Gaming | 52c | 56.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 56.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed Yellow Submarine | 59c | 54.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yellow Submarine | 19c | 53.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 51.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked Yellow Submarine | 44c | 50.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Nemiga Gaming | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yellow Submarine | 66c | 40.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 463 | 54.6%253 W · 210 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Nemiga Gaming | 79c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 69c | 37.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 37.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c0e6backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 29.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 222 | 59%131 W · 91 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Nemiga Gaming | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7560…1ee1backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 26.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 211 | 33.6%71 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 66c | 19.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Yellow Submarine | 61c | 16.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Yellow Submarine | 80c | 12.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Group AYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)Nemiga Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.