TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x597d…b97d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
380
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: UFC, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 52 out of 100; worst Tweets at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT20738.6%80 W · 127 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 207 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Bbacked summer bear · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked RE.Arise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+175%+$87.49
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs FTS (BO3) - EPL Masters 2 Play-In Group Abacked FTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.35
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters 2 Play-In Group Bbacked RE.Arise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.63
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winnerbacked RE.Arise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: summer bear vs Team Syntax - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Syntax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.48
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.5
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$97.49
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$122.73
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$288
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+592.4%+$248.67
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$73.55
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$64.49
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$114.38
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+335.5%+$37.8
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$19.5
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Showing 25 of 207 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT8239%32 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$37.13
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.11
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.47
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: OG vs Metizport (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+245.9%+$27.05
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.54
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$69.13
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$58.27
Counter-Strike: Team Burger vs Team Recrent (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffsbacked Team Burger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.33
Counter-Strike: BIG vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$259
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs 9z (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.72
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+219.8%+$369.35
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs TYLOO (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BIG (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$169.5
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$169.15
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick10cpaid+78.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.25
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+936.4%+$280.91
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.4
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.22
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+5,812.1%+$1,162.41
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.65
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.21
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.18
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.9
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.07
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$634.63
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.99
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.89
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.77
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.36
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$1,041.6
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.72
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,552.65
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$122.41
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will DR Congo finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.04
Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$77.14
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$40.59
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-79%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.46
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.82
Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 0 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.83
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.58
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.63
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$246.47
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.23
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.74
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.31
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 8 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.